CEE ECONOMY-Czech economy falls a little deeper in Q4 as technical recession confirmed

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
March 3 (Reuters) - The Czech economy fell a little sharper than expected in the fourth quarter, data showed on Friday, as the country tipped into technical recession at the end of 2022 with household consumption falling due to high inflation. The Czech economy shrank 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, more than a flash estimate of 0.3% and following a 0.3% drop in the third quarter, updated data from the statistics office showed. It confirmed preliminary data which had estimated a second quarterly contraction, as the Czech Republic joined Hungary as two central European economies falling into recession in the second half of last year. Poland, too, saw its economy contract in the fourth quarter. Little relief is seen for central Europe's economies in early 2023 as the region suffers under decades-high inflation, well-elevated interest rates, and consumers holding back spending as their paychecks cannot keep up with price growth. The data showed household consumption dropped 2.8% quarter-on-quarter, posting a fifth straight quarterly contraction. On a year-on-year basis, the economy gained 0.2%, below an initial estimate of 0.4% seen in data at the end of January. For the full-year 2022, growth was at 2.4%. The central bank forecasts a contraction of 0.3% in 2023. The slow economy will back central bank arguments to hold steady on interest rates despite inflation still at over 17%. The bank has been on hold since last June, with the majority arguing for steady policy following a year-long hiking cycle that had raised the base rate by 675 basis points to 7.00%. Central bankers have not taken a rate hike off the table if demand pressures build, although markets price in hikes by the end of the year. (Reporting by Jason Hovet in Prague; Editing by Varun H K)

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