EMERGING MARKETS-Most Asian currencies inch lower on odds of Fed rate hike

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
Updated:
Reuters



*


Thai Baht set for worst day since March 27

*


Investor focus on U.S. CPI data, due Wednesday

*


Stocks in Indonesia hit lowest since March 28



By Navya Mittal April 10 (Reuters) - Most emerging Asian currencies eased on Monday after strong U.S. payrolls data released last week cemented the case for another rate hike by the Federal Reserve and dampened risk sentiment. The Thai baht weakened 0.7% and Malaysia's ringgit slipped 0.2%, while the Indonesian rupiah and the Philippine peso were largely unchanged. The United States, the world's largest economy, increased jobs at a brisk clip in March, data showed on Friday, signalling labour market resilience that is expected to keep the Fed on track to raise interest rates one more time next month. "The string of data thus far suggests that the US is slowing and an environment global growth convergence should weaken the USD even without a rate cut this year," Maybank analysts said in a note. Markets participants are now waiting for the U.S. inflation print due on Wednesday that is expected to shape the path the Fed will take in its battle against rising prices. Mounting recession worries and the tumult in the banking system sparked by the sudden collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in March have raised investor hopes that the Fed will cut rates in the second half of the year to ward off an economic downturn. Markets are currently pricing in a 70% chance of a 25 basis-point Fed rate hike in May, while also pricing in cuts before the year-end. "Market narrative continues to shift quickly, without any clear conviction. From trading Fed's end-in-sight to recession worries, potentially the focus could shift back to inflation theme this week," said Christopher Wong, a currency strategist at OCBC. Among stock markets, South Korea and Thailand led the gains. Philippine and Taiwan stocks rose more than 0.2% each. Meanwhile, Malaysian equities were largely unchanged. The country's palm oil inventories at the end of March fell to a nine-month low.


The Singapore dollar was up 0.1%. The city-state's central bank will hold its monetary policy meeting on Friday, where it is expected to tighten policy for the sixth consecutive time amid supply-chain disruptions globally. Elsewhere in the region, India will report its consumer inflation data for March on Tuesday. A Reuters poll of economists showed the inflation likely eased thanks to softer food price rises, dipping below the Reserve Bank of India's upper tolerance limit for the first time this year.


Highlights
** Indonesian 10-year benchmark yields up 2.5 basis points at 6.704%
** Saudi maintains crude supply to Asian refiners despite OPEC+ cuts - sources


** China's first batch of shares under new IPO system surge in debut



Asia stock indexes and currencies
at 0600 GMT
COUNTRY FX RIC FX FX INDE STOCKS STOCKS DAILY % YTD % X DAILY YTD % %
Japan -0.35 -1.12 <.N2 0.36 7.45 25>
China <CNY=CFXS -0.13 +0.38 <.SS -0.29 7.40 > EC>
India -0.01 +1.01 <.NS 0.21 -2.59 EI>
Indonesia +0.07 +4.46 <.JK -0.66 -1.50 SE>
Malaysia -0.15 -0.17 <.KL -0.01 -4.59 SE>
Philippin -0.01 +1.98 <.PS - -1.19 es I>
S.Korea <KRW=KFTC -0.21 -4.17 <.KS 0.87 12.33 > 11>
Singapore +0.14 +0.74 <.ST -0.19 1.32 I>
Taiwan -0.01 +0.85 <.TW 0.25 12.30 II>
Thailand -0.71 +0.70 <.SE 0.76 -4.77 TI>

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Graphic: World FX rates Asian stock markets ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^> (Reporting by Navya Mittal in Bengaluru; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu)

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.