FX starts week on backfoot as dollar firms, Hungary's forint lags CEE peers

Kitco Media
By Anonymous
Published:
Updated:
Reuters
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 Hungary's forint off 0.2% ahead of c.bank meeting 
 

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 China, HK stocks drop on economic recovery doubts
 

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 Russian rouble up with tax revenue in focus
 

 
 By Bansari Mayur Kamdar
 April 24 (Reuters) - Currencies in emerging markets
slipped on Monday, as the dollar firmed ahead of a slew of
central bank policy meetings, while the Hungarian forint inched
down ahead of an eagerly awaited policy decision by the National
Bank of Hungary this week.
 The forint  slipped 0.2% against the euro,
following a rough week as the central bank deputy governor
flagged a cut in the top of its interest rate corridor.
 The National Bank of Hungary is expected to leave its base
rate steady at 13% at Tuesday's policy meeting.
 "The market will be particularly sensitive to any comments
when the 1-day overnight deposit rate at 18% could be adjusted.
This rate has been the main pillar supporting bullish sentiment
towards the forint since October, said Piotr Matys, senior FX
analyst at In Touch Capital Markets.
 Other central and eastern European currencies edged up, with
the Polish zloty  adding 0.1% against the euro.
 Data showed Polish producer prices fell more than expected
in March, but separate figures showing greater-than-expected
drop in industrial output and weaker-than-expected retail sales
last month weighed on the mood.
 "The majority of the MPC (Monetary Policy Committee) may
focus on weak retail sales to argue against raising interest
rates," Matys said.
 "Sharp deceleration in PPI is also an argument in favour of
stable policy rate at 6.75%." 
 Overall, the MSCI's index for emerging market currencies
  eased 0.1% as the U.S. dollar firmed, with
markets focused on the Bank of Japan's policy meeting this week
and the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank's rate
decisions next week.
 South Africa's rand  slipped 0.2% against the
greenback, while the Turkish lira  was flat. 
 The Russian rouble  firmed to 81.32 against
the dollar, as the prospect of favourable tax payments this week
outweighed concerns about lower oil prices and a general
negative outlook ahead of Friday's central bank rate decision.
 Emerging market stocks  shed 0.4%, falling for
their fifth straight session.
 China's blue-chip CSI300 Index  fell 1.2%, leading
sharp losses among China and Hong Kong stocks amid lingering
concern about unsteady economic recovery in the world's
second-largest economy.
 In Latin America, Argentine President Alberto Fernandez
announced he will not run in the country's October general
election, throwing open a race to lead the Peronist coalition at
the ballot .
 S&P revised Egypt's outlook to negative on external
financing risks and affirmed 'B/B' ratings.
 Fitch Ratings downgraded Ghana's long-term local-currency
(LTLC) issuer default rating to 'RD' from 'CCC'.
 

 (Reporting by Bansari Mayur Kamdar in Bengaluru; Editing by
Sonia Cheema)
 ((BansariMayur.Kamdar@thomsonreuters.com; Twitter:
@BansariKamdar;))
 
((For GRAPHIC on emerging market FX performance in 2023, see 
For GRAPHIC on MSCI emerging index performance in 2023, see 
 
 For TOP NEWS across emerging markets 
 For CENTRAL EUROPE market report, see  
 For TURKISH market report, see  
 For RUSSIAN market report, see  ))
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