Gold steadies as high Treasury yields offset Mideast peace hopes

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
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May 20 (Reuters) - Gold prices held steady on Wednesday, as pressure from a firm dollar and higher Treasury yields was offset by hopes of a potential resolution to the U.S.-Iran conflict, easing some inflation concerns.

Spot gold was unchanged ​at $4,480.29 per ounce, as of 0915 GMT, after earlier falling to its lowest level ​since March 30.

U.S. gold futures for June delivery lost 0.6% to $4,482.80.

"Any positive ⁠progress in U.S.-Iran talks that lead to a potential re-opening of the Strait of Hormuz ​may boost gold prices as the dollar weakens and inflation fears cool," Lukman Otunuga, senior research ​analyst at FXTM, said.

"However, if talks remain in limbo or tensions escalate further, gold may weaken as inflation fears intensify along with rate hike bets despite the risk-off mood."

U.S. President Donald Trump said the war with Iran would ​be over "very quickly", while Vice President JD Vance talked up progress in talks with Tehran ​about an agreement to end hostilities.

Oil fell about 1% on the news, but held well above the $100 a ‌barrel ⁠mark.

The dollar held near a six-week high, making greenback-priced bullion more expensive for other currency-holders.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields hovered around a more-than-one-year high, as higher energy prices fuelled inflation worries and boosted bets for higher U.S. interest rates.

Higher Treasury yields raise the opportunity cost of holding ​non-yielding assets, including gold.

The ​Federal Reserve will avoid cutting ⁠rates this year, according to most economists polled by Reuters who largely pushed long-held calls for reductions into 2027 on hopes the current inflation ​flare-up is temporary.

Markets are increasingly pricing in possibilities of the Fed ​tightening monetary ⁠policy this year, with a 40% chance of a rate hike expected in December, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. FEDWATCH

Investors now await the minutes from the Fed's April policy meeting, due later in ⁠the day.

"Longer-term ​support (for gold) from geopolitical uncertainty, fiscal debt concerns and ​central bank reserve diversification remains intact," ANZ said in a note.

Spot silver rose 1.8% to $75.13 per ounce, platinum gained 0.3% ​to $1,927.20, and palladium was up 1.5% to $1,373.95.

Reporting by Noel John in Bengaluru; Editing by Vijay Kishore

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