Gold falls as renewed US-Iran tensions dampen peace hopes, clouds interest rate outlook

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
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May 26 (Reuters) - Gold slipped on Tuesday as U.S. strikes in Iran ‌pushed Brent prices higher, stoking inflation worries and clouding the outlook for U.S. interest rates.

Spot gold was down 0.7% at $4,537.10 per ounce, as of 1052 GMT. U.S. gold futures for June ​delivery was unchanged at $4,536.80.

"The uncertainty triggered an uptick in oil prices, sharpening ​inflationary fears and reinforcing hawkish Federal Reserve expectations, creating a headwind ⁠for non-yielding gold," ActivTrades analyst Ricardo Evangelista said.

"The path of least resistance for ​gold prices remains to the downside... Traders will remain focused on the U.S.-Iran talks, while ​also looking ahead to the release of U.S. PCE inflation data."

Brent crude oil prices rose sharply after the U.S. military carried out strikes in Iran, dampening hopes of a swift resolution to ​the Middle East conflict.

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said on Tuesday that ​negotiating a deal with Iran could "take a few days."

Elevated crude oil prices can accelerate inflation and keep ‌interest ⁠rates higher for longer. While gold is seen as a hedge against inflation, higher rates tend to weigh on the non-yielding metal.

Markets are pricing in a Fed rate hike before year-end, with a 41% chance of a 25-basis-point hike in December, ​according to CME Group's ​FedWatch tool. FEDWATCH

Investors now ⁠await the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data for April due on Thursday, for more cues on U.S. monetary policy.

Meanwhile, UBS lowered its ​year-end gold price target by $400 to $5,500 due to persistent risks ​from higher ⁠yields and a stronger dollar.

However, "elevated global debt burdens, persistent fiscal deficits in the U.S., and continued reserve diversification trends should again elevate the strategic case for hard assets, ⁠especially ​as oil prices likely moderate toward the end of ​the year," UBS said in a note.

Spot silver fell 2.2% to $76.37 per ounce, platinum lost 0.9% to $1,949.54, ​and palladium slid 1.7% to $1,374.

Reporting by Noel John in Bengaluru; Editing by Vijay Kishore

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