Gold heads for fourth weekly drop as traders reassess Fed rate outlook

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
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Reuters
Gold heads for fourth weekly drop as traders reassess Fed rate outlook teaser image

June 26 (Reuters) - Gold prices rose on Friday as recent U.S. inflation data weighed ‌on the dollar and led markets to slightly trim rate-hike bets, though the metal was on track for a fourth straight weekly fall, having slipped to a more than seven-month low earlier this week.

Spot gold ​was up 0.7% at $4,051.97 an ounce as of 1128 GMT. U.S. gold futures for ​August delivery rose 0.5% to $4,067.50/oz.

Bullion slipped below the $4,000-mark on Wednesday for the first ⁠time since November, as the dollar climbed to its strongest level in over a ​year on the same day. The yellow metal is set for a weekly loss of ​about 2.5%.

Gold is trading near $4,000 for a third consecutive session, with investor sentiment still shaken by the recent selloff as markets adjust to the twin headwinds of a hawkish Fed and a stronger dollar, Saxo Bank ​analyst Ole Hansen said.

The U.S. dollar held near recent highs despite a modest dip after the ​release of the Fed's preferred inflation gauge on Thursday led markets to slightly scale back Fed rate-hike expectations.

Markets still expect ‌three ⁠Federal Reserve rate hikes this year, with CME FedWatch showing a roughly 61% chance of a September increase, down from 69% before the U.S. personal consumption expenditures data. FEDWATCH/

"While the technical breakdown continues to weigh on sentiment, continued declines in energy prices and softer bond yields may ​eventually reduce pressure on ​the Federal Reserve to ⁠tighten policy further, potentially offering some support to the precious metal," added Hansen.

Crude prices have fallen more than 2% as supply concerns ​ease following the exit of more stranded oil tankers through the ​Strait of ⁠Hormuz.

A sustained break below $4,000 could see bears test $3,886 support, while a bearish "death cross" may reinforce downside momentum, leaving prices vulnerable to the $3,600 to $3,700 range in the months ahead, said Han Tan, chief ⁠market ​analyst at Bybit.

Among other metals, spot silver rose 0.8% ​to $58.33 per ounce, platinum gained 1.3% to $1,622.30, and palladium rose 2.5% to $1,213.76. All metals were headed for a weekly loss.

Reporting by Sumit ​Saha in Bengaluru; additional reporting by Swati Verma; Editing by Janane Venkatraman and Shreya Biswas

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