Gold gains as US dollar declines, hopes of Mideast deal hit oil

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
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Aug 3 (Reuters) - Gold prices gained on ‌Monday as the dollar weakened and optimism over a possible U.S.-Iran agreement sent oil prices sharply lower, tempering inflation fears and expectations of prolonged high interest rates.

Spot gold was up 0.2% at $4,048.84 per ounce, as of 1042 GMT. ​U.S. gold futures edged 0.2% higher to $4,048.80. The precious metal posted its first monthly ​rise in five in July, rising about 1%.

Oil prices slumped more than $4 ⁠a barrel, after U.S. President Donald Trump held off a fresh attack on Iran as ​he sought a quick deal that would halt Tehran's nuclear ambitions and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Trump ​said that talks with Iran will happen on Monday but declined to set a deadline for an agreement, although Iran said there were no talks under way with the United States.

"We are back to the previous correlation, with ​gold rising when crude oil falls, and gold falling when oil rises... The lower oil ​price is today reducing modestly U.S. rate hike expectations for this year, and supporting gold," UBS analyst Giovanni ‌Staunovo said.

Elevated ⁠oil prices stoke concerns around inflation and higher interest rates, diminishing bullion's appeal as a non-yielding asset.

Further supporting gold, the U.S. dollar came under pressure, hitting its lowest since mid-June, after authorities intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the yen, while yields on the benchmark 10-year ​U.S. Treasury note also ​fell.

Also in focus is ⁠a set of U.S. jobs reports due this week, including the ADP employment report, and nonfarm payrolls data.

"A weaker U.S. job market would allow ​the Fed to keep rates on hold this year, and that ​would be positive ⁠for gold, as the market prices out rate hikes for this year," Staunovo said.

Three U.S. Federal Reserve officials who dissented at the policy meeting last week in favour of a rate hike expressed concerns ⁠on ​Friday that without an immediate increase in short-term borrowing costs, ​inflation will stay stuck above the Fed's 2% target.

Spot silver gained 0.5% to $57.93, platinum rose 0.1% to $1,643.46, and palladium was steady at $1,273.12.

Reporting by ​Pablo Sinha in Bengaluru; additional reporting by Swati Verma; Editing by Mrigank Dhaniwala and Louise Heavens

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