Gold drops over 1% as Fed's Warsh comments lift rate hike bets

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
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Aug 28 (Reuters) - Gold prices reversed course and fell ‌over 1% on Friday, as traders increased bets on an interest rate hike after Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's remarks on curbing inflationary pressure.

Spot gold was down 0.8% at $4,563.05 per ounce by ​1452 GMT, after earlier hitting a one-week low of $4,528.94. U.S. gold futures ​for December delivery fell 1% to $4,615.10.

"Gold is getting slapped hard as ⁠Chair Warsh affirms that inflation isn't meaningfully slowing and the Fed has 'work to do.' ​While it may once again be 'speak loudly and carry a short stick' this will ​make the market price the September meeting as a coin flip," independent analyst Tai Wong said.

Traders added to bets on a September rate hike after Warsh said the Fed will "have work to do" ​if policymakers are not confident that underlying inflation is returning to its 2% ​target, marking the closest he has come to acknowledging interest rate hikes may be needed to ‌ease price ⁠pressures.

Traders now see a 56% chance of a U.S. rate hike in September, compared to 36% before Warsh's comments, and an 80% chance of a December increase, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

The dollar rose to a over one-week high, making ​greenback-priced bullion more expensive ​for holders of ⁠other currencies.

The metal had hit a more than three-month high of $4,696.18 on Tuesday, building on a rally following the U.S. Treasury's ​announcement last week of support measures for long-duration bonds.

Gold tends ​to lose ⁠appeal in a high interest rate environment as it offers no yield.

Gold discounts in India plunged this week, as demand fell sharply on market speculation that the government could ⁠consider rolling ​back a recent hike in import duties.

Spot silver ​rose 0.3% to $69.48 per ounce, platinum was up 1.7% at $1,878.46 and palladium gained 7% to $1,444.75 an ounce.

Reporting by ​Pablo Sinha and Dharna Bafna in Bengaluru; Editing by Shilpi Majumdar and Tasim Zahid

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