Gold down, but not out

Kitco Media
By Jonathan Da Silva
Published:
Updated:
Kitco Commentaries
Opinions, Ideas and Markets Talk

Featuring views and opinions written by market professionals, not staff journalists.

Gold bulls failed to successfully defend the $1740 - 50 spot area in a Sunday night sell-off that seasoned metals traders have often observed. That said, metals have a tendency to “overshoot” support and resistance areas.

The below daily gold chart shows that this may again be the case, as stochastic RSI is now in the oversold position with price making a higher low (for now) while tagging the former downtrend line. The price is also at the bottom end of the Bollinger band channel.

For comparison, last week, we mentioned stocks were looking to come down off resistance, having pointed to the stochastic RSI as well. This morning, stocks have accelerated the selling seen on Friday. The indicator has further to go before reaching oversold territory, with the 50-day moving average looming below.

In this trader's opinion, the opportunity for upside in gold remains intact, while caution in the stock market continues to look like the prudent approach in the short term.

Thanks and have a great week.

Kitco Media

Jonathan Da Silva

Jonathan Da Silva developed a passion for hard money and economics from a young age having been influenced by family who sought to teach me that "nothing is free", and the importance of intrinsic value early on. My interest in markets grew keener during the great financial crisis of 2008; leaning on family with vast trading experience, I began to self-educate on technical analysis and economics- drawing inspiration from the works of individuals like W.D. Gann and Adam Smith. I have been a proud member of the Kitco team since 2017 and hope that my writing inspires readers to consider an objective view of the metals, and the greater financial markets.

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.