Bitcoin’s repeated cloud wicks keep the market focused on confirmation

Kitco Media
By Aaron Dishner
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Bitcoin’s repeated cloud wicks keep the market focused on confirmation teaser image

Bitcoin finished Wednesday with a doji, expressing indecision, but repeated lower wicks below the daily Cloud and weakening momentum leave the market on alert. The Better Traders read is not a blanket risk-off call: several TradFi charts are oversold after hawkish Fed commentary, while crypto breadth and ALT conditions remain defensive.

Bitcoin is indecisive but repeated Cloud wicks show weakness

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BTC barely moved on Wednesday and closed a doji. It has also wicked below the Cloud for a second consecutive day, with repeated lower wicks since the beginning of the month. RSI is below support. The source notes short-term overhead resistance, but stresses that short-term lines are less important than longer-term structure.

Ethereum is holding resistance while momentum weakens

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ETH continues to respect TBO Resistance at $1,929 in a pattern the source compares with April and May. Daily RSI is weakening. ETH/BTC remains strong bullish, yet its RSI has made lower highs since Monday and OBV is approaching its white moving average, adding warning signs without erasing the stronger trend.

Dominance and breadth remain defensive

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Combined stablecoin dominance remains in bearish consolidation, while BTC dominance is chopping inside its Cloud. ETH dominance remains strong bullish but appears to be topping, and SOL dominance is strong bearish. TOTALE100 dominance printed its third and final TBO Breakdown. Dominance describes market share and is not a direct spot-price call.

A close-up of a bitcoin and ethereum

Hawkish commentary triggered a short-term oversold responseImage 4

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The DXY dropped sharply after Fed chair Kevin Warsh’s post-meeting comments, returning the chart to bearish consolidation. The euro printed a daily TBO Close Short. USDJPY remains extremely strong bullish, though the source sees it as extended at historic 40-year highs and says one OBV signal is not enough to establish a short setup.

Equities are weak but the source keeps the response conditional

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S&P futures and SPX lost short-term support, while NDX fell more than 2% and RSI reached 19.49, its lowest reading since April 2025. The Dow printed a TBO Close Long for the first time since February 27. The source characterizes the move as a short-term, news-driven oversold response that may snap back, even as lower gaps remain below.

ALT weakness is broad while gold needs a quick response

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Most ALT charts look scared in the source’s assessment. SOL closed a second day below the daily Cloud in strong-bearish mode, while HYPE, LINK, ZEC, LTC, AAVE, QNT, ALGO, DASH and INJ all carry individual warnings or bearish signals. Gold confirmed a third bullish-divergence cluster but needs to move higher in the next two to three days; the source still favors a bearish August and September outlook.

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Kitco Media

Aaron Dishner

Co-founder and lead instructor at The Better Traders, Inc., an international crypto education company, and owner of the popular crypto bot trading YouTube channel Moonin Papa, Aaron Dishner serves over 25,000 students across 36 countries as a world-leading bot trader and crypto day trading and swing trading expert. Combining his passion for educational excellence, stemming from a professional teaching background, with his remarkable skill set in crypto trading, Aaron’s mission is to make trading safe and accessible so anyone can learn to benefit from the greatest financial revolution of our time.
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