Could fixed income yields be pointing to more problems ahead for precious metals?

Kitco Media
By Rajan Dhall
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Updated
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(Kitco News) - Below is the monthly chart of the U.S. 30-year yield and a significant trendline has been broken. The 30-year is sometimes looked at for mortgage bond rates and this graph shows they have been on the rise for some time now and this could show that the housing market in the U.S. may be in for a shock. Normally higher rates are not an issue if the economy is booming but the fact that some nations are heading into recession territory and inflation is still running rampant could affect the number of new homes being purchased and new mortgages being issued.

Back to the chart, the red circles represent a new higher high and higher low being printed. This is the first time in a while that has happened and also the rate of change and velocity of the move should be taken into consideration. In terms of resistance, 5% looks like a very tricky area but there is a long way until that point and I am not too sure how many analysts and economists are projecting a move to that kind of level.

The 2 and 10 year have also made mammoth moves in recent times. A move across the curve seems very prominent and could send shockwaves through fund allocation. Not to mention gold.

Kitco Media

Rajan Dhall

Rajan Dhall is a financial analyst that has been in the trading industry since 2009. From working in Canary Wharf (London) as a head trader to becoming a journalist on a real-time news desk, Rajan has worked his way through many positions in the financial sector. The main area of Raj's expertise lies in technical and statistical analysis. Rajan currently lectures technical analysis with the Society of Technical Analysts (STA) at the London School of Economics. One of the main areas Rajan has based his analysis on is probability. Raj completed his certification (probability) with Harvard and regularly uses probability theories in his analysis as he feels it helps him add value to his clients and customers.

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