Copper price crawls higher on softer dollar after weak US jobs data, tight supply

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
Copper price crawls higher on softer dollar after weak US jobs data, tight supply teaser image

Copper prices edged higher on Friday, supported by a softer dollar after weaker-than-expected US jobs data and supply issues.

Benchmark three-month copper CMCU3 on the London Metal Exchange rose 0.1% to $14,262.50 a metric ton by 1615 GMT. That marked a decline of about 2% since the end of last week.

“Metals have seen light turnover again so far this session with copper finding some support with a slightly softer dollar, but the broader tone remains cautious,” Neil Welsh, head of metals at broker Britannia Global Markets, said in a note.

“High energy costs stemming from the ongoing US-Iran conflict and signs of industrial weakness in China have weighed on sentiment across the complex.”

The dollar index =USD dropped on Friday after US jobs growth slowed more than expected in September, prompting traders to reduce their bets on further US rate hikes. The dollar hit its strongest in 17 months this week, but the retreat on Friday makes commodities priced in the US currency cheaper for buyers using other currencies. FRX/

LME copper has gained 16% over the past six months, largely due to a large shift in inventories to the US attracted by the prospect of tariffs there, creating shortages elsewhere.

Stocks in warehouses monitored by the Shanghai Futures Exchange CU-STX-SGH have slumped by 79% over the past four months to 38,744 tons, their lowest since January 2024.

The SHFE was closed for China’s National Day and will reopen on October 8.

The prospect of less output in the world’s largest copper producer Chile has also underpinned the market, with data on Wednesday showing production fell 12.8% year-on-year in August.

Supervisors at Chile’s Escondida copper mine, the world’s largest, rejected a collective contract offer, paving the way for a potential strike and adding to supply fears.

Among other metals, LME aluminium CMAL3 shed 0.7% to $3,102.50 a ton, nickel CMNI3 lost 0.5% to $15,555, zinc CMZN3 dropped 0.8% to $3,695, lead CMPB3 fell 0.5% to $1,848.50 and tin CMSN3 gave up 0.6% to $54,005.

(Reporting by Eric Onstad, additional reporting by Solomon Cefai in Singapore; Editing by Sahal Muhammed, Shreya Biswas, Joyjeet Das and Louise Heavens)

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