Gold set for a weekly drop as traders assess Fed signals

Kitco Media
By Reuters
Published:
Updated:
Reuters
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Oct 16 (Reuters) - Gold prices ​were largely steady on Friday and were on track for a weekly loss ‌as traders weighed the prospect of further Federal Reserve rate hikes this year following a run of hotter-than-expected US inflation data.

Spot gold was down 0.1% at $4,165.12 per ounce by 02:07 p.m. EDT (1807 GMT) but was down ​0.7% so far in the week.

US gold futures for December delivery settled 0.3% higher ​at $4,181.10 per ounce.

"We're very much rangebound and tilting toward the lower bound ⁠of support, the main reason being we still have a lot of ambiguity in what ​the Fed will do," Bart Melek, global head of commodity strategy at TD Securities, said.

Federal Reserve ​Chair Kevin Warsh voiced optimism about US economic strength but gave no clues about the central bank's rate-path trajectory.

Data on Thursday showed US producer prices increased by the most in 4-1/2 years last month. The data followed Wednesday's consumer price ​report, which showed prices accelerated in September.

Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee said ​the data was "discouraging" while Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack said the Fed might need to ‌hike ⁠interest rates more aggressively if there were to be a notable deterioration in the public's inflation expectations.

Traders largely expect the US central bank to hold rates steady this month, while pricing in a 90% chance of a rate hike in December, according to the CME's FedWatch Tool.

Although gold ​is typically seen as ​an inflation hedge, higher ⁠interest rates tend to reduce the appeal of the non-yielding metal.

"Over the rest of this year, gold prices are likely to edge lower as ​the Fed continues raising rates and fears around the end of ​the AI ⁠boom prove to be temporary," Hamad Hussain, a climate and commodities economist at Capital Economics, said.

Elsewhere, gold traded at a premium in India this week for the first time in more than three ⁠months as ​a pullback in prices boosted jewellery purchases.

Among other metals, ​spot silver fell 0.7% to $57.05 per ounce, platinum was unchanged at $1,626.15 and palladium was down 1.1% to $1,113.61. All three metals ​headed for weekly losses.

Reporting by Pablo Sinha in Bengaluru; Editing by Vijay Kishore and Andrew Heavens

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