Gold falls as higher oil stokes inflation fears ahead of US midterms

Kitco Media
By Reuters
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Reuters
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Nov 3 (Reuters) - Gold prices fell on Tuesday, after gaining about 2% in ‌the previous session, as energy-driven inflation worries kept investors on edge ahead of the US midterm elections.

Spot gold slipped 1.1% to $3,903.48 per ounce by 1202 GMT. US gold ​futures for December delivery fell 1.4% to $3,913.80 per ounce.

Oil prices rebounded ​on Tuesday after a steep selloff in the previous session, ⁠as an Iranian official said Tehran and Washington remained far from a ​deal to end the war and the US struck Iran's Qeshm Island.

"Higher oil ​prices tend to put inflationary pressures up, and with inflationary pressures up, rate expectations tend to drift higher and that's negative for gold," said Nitesh Shah, commodity strategist at ​WisdomTree.

Higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. Traders ​currently see a 76% chance that the US Federal Reserve will raise rates in December, ‌according ⁠to CME's FedWatch tool, opens new tab.

Crucial midterm elections, meanwhile, were underway in the US. "A Democratic sweep would likely prove more problematic for the AI data centre build-out and the broader tech trade," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.

"Any ​further pressure on ​the tech complex ⁠from increased regulatory scrutiny could spill over into gold as positions continue to be cut to cover losses elsewhere."

Meanwhile, ​the World Gold Council cut its forecast for growth in ​gold investment ⁠this year to 200 metric tons from 400 tons estimated previously, citing weaker appetite for bars and coins. It, however, raised its estimate for central bank ⁠purchases.

Among other ​metals, spot silver slipped 3.3% to $48.96 per ​ounce, platinum fell 1.9% to $1,421.43 and palladium dropped 3.1% to $939.41.

Reporting by Sukanya ​Mitra and Sherin Sans in Bengaluru; Editing by Shri Navaratnam and Joyjeet Das

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