Price pressure on gold, silver as Powell on deck

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are lower in early U.S. trading Monday, just ahead of one of the two major U.S. economic data points of the week. April gold was last down $10.20 at $1,844.30 and May silver was down $0.145 at $20.99.

Focus of the marketplace is on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's testimony on U.S. monetary policy to Senate and House committees on Tuesday and Wednesday. The Tuesday Senate testimony begins at 10:00 a.m. EST. The Wall Street Journal reports Powell "is likely to caution on Capitol Hill that strong economic activity this year could lead central bank officials to raise interest rates more than they expected, to combat high inflation."

Global stock markets were mixed overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward slightly higher openings when the New York day session begins.

Traders and investors are also looking forward to the February U.S. employment situation report from the Labor Department on Friday morning. The key non-farm payrolls component of the report is expected to show a rise of 225,000 jobs, following a mammoth rise of 517,000 in the January report.


Gold to reach $2,400 by 2028 as geopolitical tensions mount, central banks purchase more bullion - Pierre Lassonde

The key outside markets see the U.S. dollar index slightly firmer. Nymex crude oil futures prices are slightly down and trading around $80.00 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note is presently fetching 3.928%--down a bit after pushing above 4.0% last week.

U.S. economic data due for release Tuesday includes the weekly Johnson Redbook and chain store retail sales indexes, the IDB/TIPP economic optimism index, monthly wholesale trade and consumer credit.

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Technically, the gold futures bulls have the slight overall near-term technical advantage. A downtrend on the daily bar chart has been negated. Bulls' next upside price objective is to produce a close in April futures above solid resistance at $1,900.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $1,800.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $1,856.90 and then at last week's high of $1,864.40. First support is seen at $1,842.00 and then at $1,835.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

The silver bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a steep five-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing May futures prices above solid technical resistance at $22.25. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $19.00. First resistance is seen at this week's high of $21.395 and then at $21.75. Next support is seen at $20.76 and then at the February low of $20.505. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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