Tepid price rebound for gold to end rough week

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
Kitco News
The Leading News Source in Precious Metals

Kitco NEWS has a diverse team of journalists reporting on the economy, stock markets, commodities, cryptocurrencies, mining and metals with accuracy and objectivity. Our goal is to help people make informed market decisions through in-depth reporting, daily market roundups, interviews with prominent industry figures, comprehensive coverage (often exclusive) of important industry events and analyses of market-affecting developments.

Editor noteGet all the essential market news and expert opinions in one place with our daily newsletter. Receive a comprehensive recap of the day's top stories directly to your inbox. Sign up here!

(Kitco News) - Gold prices are modestly up and silver slightly lower in early U.S. trading Friday. Both markets hit three-month lows overnight. The precious metals bulls are still suffering the bearish effects of central bankers that this week kept the hammer down on tight monetary policies that will likely squelch global demand for metals and keep government bond yields elevated. August gold was last up $5.40 at $1,929.10 and July silver was up $0.092 at $22.375.

Global stock markets were mostly lower overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward lower openings when the New York day session begins. Central bankers this week, save for China, reinforced their hawkish tones on monetary policies. That's also bearish for many other markets, including stocks and other commodities.

In overnight news, the Euro zone manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) for June came in at 43.6, which was lower than expectations. The June services PMI reading was 52.4, also below expectations. A reading below 50.0 suggests contraction in the sector, and above 50.0 suggests growth.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index solidly higher. Nymex crude oil prices are lower and trading around $68.75 a barrel. These two outside markets are in a bearish daily posture for the metals markets. A Dow Jones Newswires headline today reads: “Oil falls as global interest rates rise." Meantime, the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield is presently fetching 3.746%.  


Gold bulls should focus on long-term protection, not short-term opportunity costs - State Street's George Milling Stanley

U.S. economic due for release Friday includes the U.S. flash and services purchasing managers indexes.

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Technically, the gold futures bears have the slight overall near-term technical advantage. A six-week-old price downtrend is in place on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price objective is to produce a close in August futures above solid resistance at $2,000.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $1,900.00. First resistance is seen at Thursday's high of $1,945.10 and then at $1,950.00. First support is seen at the overnight low of $1,919.50 and then at $1,910.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.5

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

The silver bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a four-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing July futures prices above solid technical resistance at $24.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $21.00. First resistance is seen at Thursday's high of $22.75 and then at $23.00. Next support is seen at the overnight low of $22.14 and then at $22.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

Mdi Earth Logo

Share

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.