Safe-haven demand fuels price gains for gold, silver

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
Kitco News
The Leading News Source in Precious Metals

Kitco NEWS has a diverse team of journalists reporting on the economy, stock markets, commodities, cryptocurrencies, mining and metals with accuracy and objectivity. Our goal is to help people make informed market decisions through in-depth reporting, daily market roundups, interviews with prominent industry figures, comprehensive coverage (often exclusive) of important industry events and analyses of market-affecting developments.

Safe-haven demand fuels price gains for gold, silver teaser image

(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are higher in early U.S. trading Monday, on safe-haven buying after a terrorist strike in Jordan killed three U.S. soldiers. February gold was last up $11.50 at $2,028.80. March silver was last up $0.288 at $23.16.

Risk aversion is keener to start the trading week after an Iran-backed Houthi drone strike against U.S. troops in Jordan killed three U.S. soldiers. President Biden said the U.S. would respond.

Asian stock markets were mostly up and European stock markets were mixed overnight. U.S. stock index futures are set to open mixed when the New York day session begins.

In other overnight news, reports said a Hong Kong court has issued a liquidation order on China’s Evergrande Group after the property development company failed to reach an agreement with its creditors. The liquidation will be closely watched by the marketplace. Bloomberg reported most of Evergrande’s assets are located in mainland China with the order to test the legal reach of Hong Kong courts.

The U.S. economic data point of the week is the Open Market Committee meeting of the Federal Reserve that begins Tuesday morning and ends Wednesday afternoon with a statement and press conference from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. The FOMC is not expected to change U.S. monetary policy at this meeting but will likely give fresh guidance on futures policy plans.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index a bit firmer. Nymex crude oil prices are near steady and trading around $78.00 a barrel. Meantime, the yield on the benchmark U.S. Treasury 10-year note is presently fetching 4.107%.

U.S. economic data due for release Monday is light and includes the Texas manufacturing outlook survey.

article image

Technically, the gold futures bulls have the slight overall near-term technical advantage but have faded. A three-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart has been negated and prices are now in a seven-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close in March futures above solid resistance at $2,050.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $2,000.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight $2,033.20 and then at last week’s high of $2,039.30. First support is seen at the overnight low of $2,018.80 and then at the January low of $2,004.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5.

article image

The silver bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a seven-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing March futures prices above solid technical resistance at $24.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the October low of $21.17. First resistance is seen at $23.25 and then at $23.50. Next support is seen at the overnight low of $22.905 and then at $22.465. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5.

(Hey! My “Markets Front Burner” weekly email report is my best writing and analysis, I think, because I get to look ahead at the marketplace and do some market price forecasting. Plus, I’ll throw in an educational feature to move you up the ladder of trading/investing success. And it’s free! Email me at jim@jimwyckoff.com and I’ll add your email address to my Front Burner list.)

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

Mdi Earth Logo

Share

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.