Gold price up as China lowers mortgage interest rates

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
Kitco News
The Leading News Source in Precious Metals

Kitco NEWS has a diverse team of journalists reporting on the economy, stock markets, commodities, cryptocurrencies, mining and metals with accuracy and objectivity. Our goal is to help people make informed market decisions through in-depth reporting, daily market roundups, interviews with prominent industry figures, comprehensive coverage (often exclusive) of important industry events and analyses of market-affecting developments.

Gold price up as China lowers mortgage interest rates teaser image

(Kitco News) - Gold prices are posting decent gains in early U.S. trading Tuesday, while silver prices are lower. The yellow metal is getting a lift due in part to China dropping key interest rates for mortgages in an effort to jumpstart its troubled housing/property sector. That could translate into better demand for metals, down the road, from the world’s second-largest economy. A weaker U.S. dollar index to start the U.S. trading week is also helping out the gold market bulls. April gold was last up $14.30 at $2,038.20. March silver was last down $0.32 at $23.155.

Asian and European stock markets were mixed to lower in overnight trading. U.S. stock index futures are set to open lower when the New York day session begins. It will be a busy week for U.S. corporate earnings reports.

Traders are also looking forward to Wednesday afternoon’s release of the minutes from the last FOMC meeting of the Federal Reserve. Recent warmer U.S. inflation reports have the marketplace thinking the Fed will hold off on lower interest rates until the second half of the year, if even then.

In overnight news, reports said Houthi rebels continue to attack ships traversing the Red Sea.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index weaker. Nymex crude oil prices are a bit weaker and trading around $78.75 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is presently fetching 4.277%.

U.S. economic data due for release Tuesday is light and includes leading economic indicators.

article image

Technically, the gold futures bears have the slight overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a 2.5-month-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close in April futures above solid resistance at the February high of $2,083.20. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $1,950.00. First resistance is seen at $2,040.00 and then at $2,050.00. First support is seen at the overnight low of $2,023.90 and then at last Friday’s low of $2,006.60. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.5.

article image

The silver bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. However, a nine-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart has been negated to suggest a market bottom is in place. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing March futures prices above solid technical resistance at $25.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the February low of $21.975. First

resistance is seen at $23.445 and then at last week’s high of $23.56. Next support is seen at Friday’s low of $22.84 and then at $22.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0.

(Hey! My “Markets Front Burner” weekly email report is my best writing and analysis, I think, because I get to look ahead at the marketplace and do some market price forecasting. Plus, I’ll throw in an educational feature to move you up the ladder of trading/investing success. And it’s free! Email me at jim@jimwyckoff.com and I’ll add your email address to my Front Burner list.)

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

Mdi Earth Logo

Share

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.