Gold price rallies to record high after overall weaker U.S. jobs report

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
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Updated
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Gold price rallies to record high after overall weaker U.S. jobs report teaser image

(Kitco News) - Gold prices are solidly higher and hit new record highs in early U.S. trading Friday, following a major U.S. economic report that came in weaker than market expectations. Silver futures prices hit a nine-week high. April gold was last up $21.30 at $2,187.50. May silver was last up $0.167 at $24.745.

Arguably the U.S. data point of the month saw the February employment situation report from the Labor Department show weaker internals even though the key non-farm jobs number came in at up 275,000 versus expectations for a rise of 198,000. The January NF payrolls number was revised down to a rise of 229,000, compared to the original rise of 353,000. Also, the unemployment rate rose to 3.9% from the January report reading of 3.7%. And the labor force worker participation rate was only 62.5%. All in all, the jobs report falls into the camp of the U.S. monetary policy doves, who want to see interest rates cut sooner rather than later.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index lower and hitting a five-week low following the downbeat U.S. jobs report. Nymex crude oil prices are weaker and trading around $78.50 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is presently fetching 4.046%.

Asian and European stock markets were mixed in overnight trading. U.S. stock index futures are set to open firmer when the New York day session begins and are at or near record highs.

In overnight news, the Euro zone’s fourth-quarter GDP came in unrevised from the previous estimate, at up 0.1%, year-on-year.

Other U.S. economic data due for release Friday includes the monthly USDA supply and demand report for grains.

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Technically, the gold futures bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage and have momentum. A steep three-week-old uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close in April futures above solid resistance at $2,250.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $2,100.00. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $2,190.80 and then at $2,200.00. First support is seen at the overnight low of $2,161.20 and then at $2,150.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 9.0.

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The silver bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage and have momentum. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing May futures prices above solid technical resistance at $26.00. The next downside price

objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $23.50. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $24.85 and then at $25.00. Next support is seen at today’s low of $24.47 and then at Thursday’s low of $24.225. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

(Hey! My “Markets Front Burner” weekly email report is my best writing and analysis, I think, because I get to look ahead at the marketplace and do some market price forecasting. Plus, I’ll throw in an educational feature to move you up the ladder of trading/investing success. And it’s free! Email me at jim@jimwyckoff.com and I’ll add your email address to my Front Burner list.)

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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