(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are sharply lower near midday Thursday, on heavy profit-taking pressure from the shorter-term futures traders as well as weak-handed longs being forced to liquidate their recently established positions that are now under water. An ominously bearish chart pattern has developed this week, to suggest a near-term market top is in place, and that is also prompting technical selling pressure in gold. Fundamentally, slightly more hawkish FOMC minutes released Wednesday afternoon are also weighing on the precious metals markets. June gold was last down $44.60 at $2,348.40. July silver was last down $0.836 at $30.655.
Wednesday afternoon’s FOMC minutes from the last Fed monetary policy meeting leaned just a bit more hawkish than the marketplace expected. While the markets expected a “higher for longer” U.S. interest rate theme from the minutes, what the markets did not expect was that several FOMC members indicated they were willing to raise interest rates should inflation risks accelerate. The U.S. stock indexes saw selling pressure after the minutes were released and U.S. Treasury yields up-ticked a bit.
Asian and European stock indexes were mixed overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward higher openings and new record highs when the New York day session begins. Strong quarterly earnings from Nvidia and reports of a News Corp. deal with OpenAI are fueling gains in the stock market today.
In overnight news, the Eurozone got some upbeat manufacturing and services purchasing managers indexes (PMI)for April, as both beat market expectations. However, the manufacturing PMI reading was 47.4, which is still well below the 50.0 reading that suggests the sector is still in contraction.
A Barrons story today has a headline that reads: “Commodities are hot….” The story says “Commodities are having their moment. Gold and copper have hit historic highs while agriculture is knocking on the door to join the party.” The story continues, saying “bottom line, the commodity bull market is alive and well and has more upside.”
The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index lower. Nymex crude oil prices are firmer and trading around $78.25 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is fetching 4.43%.
Technically, June gold futures bulls still have the overall near-term technical advantage but are fading. A bearish double-top reversal pattern has formed on the daily bar chart to suggest a near-term market top is in place. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at the record high of $2,454.20. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $2,300.00. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $2,385.70 and then at $2,400.00. First support is seen at today’s low of $2,341.20 and then at $2,325.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.
July silver futures bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage but are fading a bit. Prices are in a three-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at this week’s high of $32.75. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $29.00. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $31.185 and then at $31.50. Next support is seen at today’s low of $30.36 and then at $30.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0
July N.Y. copper closed down 600 points at 478.85 cents today. Prices closed near mid-range on more profit taking and weak long liquidation after hitting a record high of 519.90 cents Monday. The copper bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage but are fading. Prices are still in a 3.5-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Copper bulls' next upside price objective is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at 519.90 cents. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid technical support at 450.00 cents. First resistance is seen at today’s high of 486.25 cents and then at 500.00 cents. First support is seen at today’s low of 474.35 cents and then at 470.00 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0
