Rising U.S. Treasury yields squelch gold, silver bulls

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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Rising U.S. Treasury yields squelch gold, silver bulls teaser image

(Kitco News) - Gold futures prices are slightly down and silver futures prices near steady in midday U.S. trading Monday. Rising U.S. Treasury yields are limiting buying interest in the precious metals on this first trading day of the third quarter. August gold was last down $1.40 at $2,338.20. July silver was up $0.06 at $29.62.

The U.S. Independence Day holiday-shortened work week still sees key U.S. data out, including the JOLTS report on Tuesday, FOMC minutes on Wednesday, and the monthly jobs report on Friday. U.S. markets are closed on Thursday, July 4. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell speaks at a European Central Bank forum in Portugal, along with ECB President Lagarde, on Wednesday.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index near steady. Nymex crude oil prices are up and trading around $83.00 a barrel. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield is presently around 4.5%.

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Technically, August gold bulls have a slight overall near-term technical advantage. However, prices are in a six-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at the June high of $2,406.70. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $2,300.00. First resistance is seen at $2,350.00 and then at $2,360.00. First support is seen at the overnight low of $2,328.20 and then at $2,315.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5.

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September silver futures bulls have a slight overall near-term technical advantage but have faded. Prices are in a six-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $31.225. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the June low of $28.90. First resistance is seen at $30.00 and then at $30.50. Next support is seen at the overnight low of $29.25 and then at $29.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5

(Hey! My “Markets Front Burner” weekly email report is my best writing and analysis, I think, because I get to look ahead at the marketplace and do some market price forecasting. Plus, I’ll throw in an educational feature to move you up the ladder of trading/investing success. And it’s free! Email me at jim@jimwyckoff.com and I’ll add your email address to my Front Burner list.)

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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