Solid price gains for gold, silver, as Powell leans easier

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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Solid price gains for gold, silver, as Powell leans  easier teaser image

(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are sharply higher in early U.S. trading Wednesday,  on the heels of dovish remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and amid a very busy U.S. data day. August gold was last up $25.90 at $2,359.30. July silver was up $1.232 at $30.585. 

Many markets were assuaged, including the precious metals and the U.S. stock market, after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell leaned easier on U.S. monetary policy in a speech at a European Central Bank confab in Portugal Tuesday. Said Angus Campbell of Trade Nation in an email dispatch today: “Powell delivered a fairly dovish speech, with the headline being that the U.S. central bank has made progress on reducing inflation. But he went on to say that he needs to see more evidence that inflation is on a sustainable path back towards the 2% target before he will be happy to loosen monetary policy. Despite this, the market continues to assign a high probability for two 25-basis- point rate cuts before year-end.” Reads a Wall Street Journal headline today: “Powell puts rate cuts back into view.”

It’s a very busy U.S. economic data dump day Wednesday, including the weekly MBA mortgage applications survey, the ADP national employment report, the Challenger job-cuts report, weekly jobless claims, the international trade report, the ISM report on business services, the U.S. services purchasing managers index (PMI), the global services PMI, manufacturers’ shipments and inventories, the weekly DOE liquid energy stocks report, and the FOMC minutes.

Asian and European stock indexes were mixed but mostly firmer overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward weaker openings when the New York day session begins, after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq stock indexes hit record high closes Tuesday. Some markets close early today for the U.S. Independence Day holiday on Thursday, when all U.S. markets are closed.

In overnight news, the Euro zone May producer price index fell 0.2%, month-on-month, and down 4.2%, year-on-year. Those numbers were close to market expectations.

The U.K. holds general elections Thursday, which some are calling the most 
important in many years. The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index slightly lower. Nymex crude oil prices are near steady and trading around $82.75 a barrel. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield is presently 4.43%.

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Technically, August gold bulls have the overall near-term technical
advantage. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above 
solid resistance at the June high of $2,406.70. Bears' next near-term 
downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical 
support at $2,300.00. First resistance is seen at $2,375.00 and then at
$2,382.60. First support is seen at $2,350.00 and then at the overnight 
low of $2,335.70. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

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September silver futures bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage and have regained upside momentum. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $32.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the June low of $28.90. First resistance is seen at $31.00 and then at $31.225. Next support is seen at $30.50 and then at $30.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

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Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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