Gold, silver rally despite bearish outside mkts, solid U.S. data

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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Gold, silver rally despite bearish outside mkts, solid U.S. data teaser image

(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are solidly up in midday U.S. trading Thursday, as the bulls shrugged off bearish outside markets that include a higher U.S. dollar index, an uptick in U.S. Treasury yields and solid gains in the competing asset class, U.S. stock indexes. The precious metals bulls also seemingly ignored a much-stronger-than-expected U.S. retail sales report that fell into the camp of the U.S. monetary policy hawks. December gold was last up $16.60 at $2,496.30. September silver was up $1.186 at $28.525.

The U.S. data point of a busy report day Thursday saw the retail sales report for July come in at up 1.0% from June, which was much stronger than the 0.3% rise expected. Weekly U.S. jobless claims came in lower than expected, too. Reads a Barron’s headline today: “The U.S. economy is still strong; the latest data make it clear.”

It’s likely the gold and silver markets saw some safe-haven demand today as the U.S. government is warning that Iran and/or its proxies are poised for a military attack on Israel.

The other key outside market today sees Nymex crude oil prices firmer and are trading around $78.50 a barrel. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is presently fetching around 3.85%.

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Technically, December gold bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at the contract high of $2,537.70. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $2,400.00. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of $2,519.70 and then at $2,524.00. First support is seen at today’s low of $2,469.20 and then at $2,450.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.0.

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September silver futures bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a nearly three-month-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at the August high of $29.355. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $26.00. First resistance is seen at $28.815 and then at $29.00. Next support is seen at $28.00 and then at this week’s low of $27.23. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0.

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Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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