The ECB continues to have an inflation headache

Kitco Media
By Rajan Dhall
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Eurozone inflation in the month of May hit 8.1% vs the analyst expectations of 7.8% (previous 7.5%). This is bound to cause a headache for the ECB and its governing members as they have been seen to be behind the curve when it comes to normalizing monetary policy.

Stocks had a negative reaction to the news as the DAX moved to session lows at 0.78% lower on Tuesday. EUR/USD (-0.42%) is also trading lower but this could be seen as strange as a high inflation reading could cause the ECB to tighten quicker than some analysts had anticipated. The German 2-year yield picked up and now trades at 0.47% with the 10-year trading also moving higher to 1.08%.

In the report, it said that the main component of euro area inflation, energy is expected to have the highest annual rate in May (39.2%, compared with 37.5% in April), followed by food, alcohol & tobacco (7.5%, compared with 6.3% in April), non-energy industrial goods (4.2%, compared with 3.8% in April) and services (3.5%, compared with 3.3% in April)

Prior to the release ECB’s Visco said monetary policy cannot counter the increase in commodity prices. He added the rate hike cycle that could start in summer must take into account uncertain economic prospects. Lastly, Visco added the key is to ensure monetary policy normalization does not lead to unwarranted eurozone market fragmentation. 

 

 

Kitco Media

Rajan Dhall

Rajan Dhall is a financial analyst that has been in the trading industry since 2009. From working in Canary Wharf (London) as a head trader to becoming a journalist on a real-time news desk, Rajan has worked his way through many positions in the financial sector. The main area of Raj's expertise lies in technical and statistical analysis. Rajan currently lectures technical analysis with the Society of Technical Analysts (STA) at the London School of Economics. One of the main areas Rajan has based his analysis on is probability. Raj completed his certification (probability) with Harvard and regularly uses probability theories in his analysis as he feels it helps him add value to his clients and customers.

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