Indian gold demand has dropped of slightly over the last month

Kitco Media
By Rajan Dhall
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Wedding season is over in India and it has had an effect on the demand for gold over the last month or so. The World Gold Council noted that retail demand remained muted as the wedding season ended and sowing activity picked up with the onset of the monsoon.

As the demand has been slightly thin the local market traded in a discount to the spot price at around $5/oz. Due to this, official imports of the yellow metal declined to 44.3t in June, 55% lower m/m.

Investment demand was slightly better as ETFs witnessed a small net inflow of 0.2t in June, primarily driven by higher inflation and a depreciating rupee. This moved total holdings to 39.1t.

On the positive side, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) added 3.7t of gold in June, increasing its total gold reserves to a respectable 768.8t. It was around 760t at the end of Q1. They are now roughly 9th in the world central bank rankings based on recently available data.

Looking ahead, official imports are expected to remain subdued during the rest of July due to the muted demand environment. Economically conditions are not great with rising interest rates around the world. Also, the weather will be a big factor in local domestic demand.

Kitco Media

Rajan Dhall

Rajan Dhall is a financial analyst that has been in the trading industry since 2009. From working in Canary Wharf (London) as a head trader to becoming a journalist on a real-time news desk, Rajan has worked his way through many positions in the financial sector. The main area of Raj's expertise lies in technical and statistical analysis. Rajan currently lectures technical analysis with the Society of Technical Analysts (STA) at the London School of Economics. One of the main areas Rajan has based his analysis on is probability. Raj completed his certification (probability) with Harvard and regularly uses probability theories in his analysis as he feels it helps him add value to his clients and customers.

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