UBS downgrades its gold forecasts

Kitco Media
By Rajan Dhall
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(Kitco News) - In a research note from last week, UBS analysts cut forecasts on gold. The bank had been projecting $1700/oz by June of next year. Now the team of analysts downgraded the forecast to $1650/oz for 1 year. Gold is traditionally viewed as an inflation hedge but despite rocketing global inflation, the gold price has struggled. This could be explained by the rise in yields in the government bond markets.gold

Looking at the gold price today, the yellow metal is sitting at around $1730/oz. This comes after a pretty heavy fall from the highs seen in March of $2070.42/oz. There is a strong support level at $1676.91/oz and it seems that the UBS analysts feel that it could be under threat.

This week the markets are preparing for the latest Fed meeting. The consensus is that the central bank will raise rates bu 75% with some outside bets that the bank will raise rates by 100bps. The press conference will be a pretty important time round as analysts will be looking for clues to what might happen in September.

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Rajan Dhall

Rajan Dhall is a financial analyst that has been in the trading industry since 2009. From working in Canary Wharf (London) as a head trader to becoming a journalist on a real-time news desk, Rajan has worked his way through many positions in the financial sector. The main area of Raj's expertise lies in technical and statistical analysis. Rajan currently lectures technical analysis with the Society of Technical Analysts (STA) at the London School of Economics. One of the main areas Rajan has based his analysis on is probability. Raj completed his certification (probability) with Harvard and regularly uses probability theories in his analysis as he feels it helps him add value to his clients and customers.

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