Central bank gold buying remains firm

Kitco Media
By Rajan Dhall
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Central banks added a net 59t to global gold reserves during the month (June). It was not the first month this year to see no reported sales, based on currently available IMF data. In all, central bank net purchases for Q2 stand at 180t, pushing the H1 total to 270t as reported according to data from the World Gold Council (WGC).

In terms of numbers, Iraq was the largest purchaser in June, adding 34t to its gold reserves. This is Iraq’s first addition since September 2018 (7t) and lifts total gold reserves to 130t, 11% of total reserves. In terms of the rest Uzbekistan (9t), Turkey (8t), Kazakhstan (4t), and India (4t), all regular buyers, were the other significant purchases during the month.

This is a continuation of the strong buying that we saw last year and we now expect full-year central bank demand for 2022 to be on a par with 2021 levels. A very good sign for the yellow metal. It will be interesting to see what happens if the USD pulls back slightly too as many central banks have been holding USD reserves. 

Gold is currently trading at $1765/oz. There was a brief move higher on Tuesday as China threatened Taiwan due to the Nancy Pelosi visit. The high from Tuesday was at $1788.03/oz. Tensions between the U.S. and China are still higher so this theme is still dominating markets today. There are also the services PMI data to come from Europe and the U.S. so that could inspire some volatility. 

 

Kitco Media

Rajan Dhall

Rajan Dhall is a financial analyst that has been in the trading industry since 2009. From working in Canary Wharf (London) as a head trader to becoming a journalist on a real-time news desk, Rajan has worked his way through many positions in the financial sector. The main area of Raj's expertise lies in technical and statistical analysis. Rajan currently lectures technical analysis with the Society of Technical Analysts (STA) at the London School of Economics. One of the main areas Rajan has based his analysis on is probability. Raj completed his certification (probability) with Harvard and regularly uses probability theories in his analysis as he feels it helps him add value to his clients and customers.

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