Price pressure on gold, silver as USDX, bond yields rebound

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are moderately down in early U.S. trading Friday, once again falling victim to a higher U.S. dollar index and rising U.S. Treasury yields to end the trading week. December gold was last down $10.90 at $1,654.60 and December silver was down $0.199 at $19.29.

The geopolitical front is far from calm at present. However, there have been no major, new developments to shake up the marketplace. Thus, precious metals traders have recently been focusing mainly on the key outside markets for daily price direction. Next week’s Federal Reserve FOMC meeting will give traders and investors some fresh, major fundamental news to digest.

Global stock markets were mixed overnight. U.S. stock indexes are headed for weaker openings when the New York day session begins. The stock index bulls have been rattled late this week amid downbeat earnings reports from the technology sector, including Meta, whose stock price lost around one-fourth of its value Thursday.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index higher. Nymex crude oil prices are weaker and trading around $88.25 a barrel. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note is yielding 4.004%.

U.S. economic data due for release Friday includes personal income and outlays, the employment cost index, pending home sales and the University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey.

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Technically, the gold futures bears have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. However, more upside price action in the near term would form a bullish double-bottom reversal pattern that would suggest a major market bottom is in place. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $1,700.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $1,600.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $1,670.90 and then at this week’s high of $1,679.40. First support is seen at the overnight low of $1,649.50 and then at this week’s low of $1,641.20. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

The silver bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. However, recent price action suggests a market bottom is in place. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at the October high of $21.31. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the September low of $17.40. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $19.62 and then at this week’s high of $19.765. Next support is seen at today’s low of $19.105 and then at $19.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.