Gold, silver up ahead of busy U.S. data day

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
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Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are a higher in early U.S. trading Wednesday, supported by a bullish daily posture in the key outside markets: higher crude oil prices, a weaker U.S. dollar index and a dip in U.S. Treasury yields. February gold was last up $11.90 at $1,921.80 and March silver was up $0.287 at $24.355.

It’s a very active day for U.S. economic data Wednesday, including the weekly MBA mortgage applications survey, retail sales, the producer price index, the Johnson Redbook and chain store sales indexes, industrial production and capacity utilization, the NAHB housing market index, manufacturing and trade inventories and Treasury international capital data.

Global stock markets were mostly higher overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward steady to slightly higher openings when the New York day session begins. Corporate earnings reports are in focus this week.

In overnight news, the Japanese yen tumbled against the U.S. dollar as the Bank of Japan made a surprise move to keep its cap in the 10-year government bond yield at 0.5%. Many thought the BOJ would be hawkish and raise the cap. The BOJ move is an attempt to keep Japanese interest rates low, while global interest rates have been rising.


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The Euro zone consumer price index for December came in at up 9.2%, year-on-year, which was in line with market expectations.

The International Energy Agency said today that world oil demand will hit a record high this year as China’s economy is expected to see a jump in oil usage.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index lower. Nymex crude oil futures prices are higher and trading around $81.75 a barrel. Meantime, the yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note is presently fetching 3.476%.  

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Technically, the gold futures bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a nine-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close in February futures above solid resistance at $1,950.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $1,870.00. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of $1,931.80 and then at $1,950.00. First support is seen at $1,900.00 and then at $1,885.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.0

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

The silver bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. A choppy, four-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart has stalled out. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing March futures prices above solid technical resistance at $25.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $22.00. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of $24.67 and then at the January high of $24.775. Next support is seen at today’s low of $23.93 and then at $23.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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