Gold sees modest price gains to start trading week

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are a bit higher in early U.S. trading Monday. A weaker U.S. dollar index and a dip in U.S. Treasury yields are supportive for the metals market bulls today. However, the metals market bulls are pensive amid general marketplace sentiment that Federal Reserve monetary policy is likely to remain tight in the coming months, despite notions the U.S. and/or global economy could slip into recession. June gold was last up $4.20 at $1,994.90 and May silver was up $0.067 at $25.13.

Global stock markets were mostly lower overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward slightly lower openings when the New York day session begins. The stock indexes have wobbled recently amid concerns the Federal Reserve will keep its monetary policy tighter for longer in order to ensure inflation is successfully tamped down. Focus of stock traders this week will be on the release of a slew of corporate earnings reports.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index modestly lower. Nymex crude oil prices are lower and trading around $77.75 a barrel. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield is presently fetching 3.543%.


Gold price on its way to 'sustained' trading at $2,100 despite 'strong risk' of selloff in Q2 - TD Securities

U.S. economic data due for release Monday includes the Chicago Fed national activity index and the Texas manufacturing outlook survey.

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Technically, the gold futures bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a six-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close in June futures above solid resistance at the April high of $2,063.40. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the April low of $1,965.90. First resistance is seen at  Friday’s high of $2,016.80 and then at last week’s high of $2,028.00. First support is seen at the overnight low of $1,986.90 and then at last week’s low of $1,980.90. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

The silver bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in an uptrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing May futures prices above solid technical resistance at $27.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $23.50. First resistance is seen at Friday’s high of $25.475 and then at this week’s high of $25.71. Next support is seen at the overnight low of $24.84 and then at last week’s low of $24.715. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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