JPMorgan says more investors looking at gold, cites hedge against 'catastrophic scenario,' banking crisis

Kitco Media
By Anna Golubova
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(Kitco News) There is rising demand for gold as banking turmoil intensifies and investors look for a hedge against a "catastrophic scenario," JPMorgan said in a note.

"The U.S. banking crisis has increased the demand for gold as a proxy for lower real rates as well as a hedge against a 'catastrophic scenario,'" JPMorgan strategists wrote.

Another 2023 favorite is the technology sector, they added.

JPMorgan described this strategy as the "long duration" trade, stating that it is growing in popularity. The trade means being overweight on gold, technology growth stocks, and shorting USD.

The "long duration" trade is now a theme in May. And it is "relatively attractive." In the case of a deep U.S. recession, its upside is exponential. And in the case of a mild U.S. recession, its downside risk is limited, the firm said.

JPMorgan also noted that while institutional investors are quickly getting into gold, retail investors are opting for Bitcoin.

The note cited the regulatory crackdown as the reason that deters "institutional investors from engaging with crypto."

Investors are also choosing to short the U.S. dollar "given the strong negative correlation between U.S. bonds and DXY performance," the strategists added.

Kitco Media

Anna Golubova

Anna Golubova is the Producer for Kitco News. With more than ten years of experience in media, she has covered a range of topics, focusing on economy and politics. Anna began to exclusively cover economic news in 2013, attending media lockups at the Bank of Canada and Statistics Canada to report on a range of key macro economic events, including interest rate announcements, GDP, unemployment, and retail. She holds a Master of Arts in International Relations from NPSIA, Carleton and a Bachelor's degree in Political Science and History from the University of Ottawa.

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