Weak China data sinks gold, silver markets

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
Kitco News
The Leading News Source in Precious Metals

Kitco NEWS has a diverse team of journalists reporting on the economy, stock markets, commodities, cryptocurrencies, mining and metals with accuracy and objectivity. Our goal is to help people make informed market decisions through in-depth reporting, daily market roundups, interviews with prominent industry figures, comprehensive coverage (often exclusive) of important industry events and analyses of market-affecting developments.

(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are lower in midday U.S. trading Tuesday. The two precious metals were pressured following surprisingly weak import and export data coming out of China overnight. A rally in the U.S. dollar index and weaker crude oil prices also weighed on the metals today. December gold was last down $9.60 at $1,960.50 and September silver was down $0.437 at $22.79.

(Note: For exclusive market forecasts and intermarket insights, sign up to my new weekly Markets Front Burner newsletter.)

Risk appetite receded following the news that China got some more dour economic data Tuesday, as the world’s second-largest economy saw its exports drop a worse-than-expected 14.5% in July, year-on-year, the steepest decline since the Covid period in February of 2020. Imports in July fell more than expected, down 12.4%. These poor numbers will likely prompt more Chinese central bank stimulus measures soon.

Asian and European stock markets were mostly lower in overnight trading, on the China news. U.S. stock indexes are lower at midday.

Key U.S. and China inflation reports this week are also in focus for the marketplace. The July U.S. consumer price index it out Thursday and the producer price index is out Friday. Both the CPI and PPI are expected to uptick just a bit from the June reports.


Turkey imposing extra fees and quotas to meet unprecedented gold demand and rebuild reserves while keeping a lid on trade deficit

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index solidly higher. Nymex crude oil prices are slightly lower and trading around $81.75 a barrel. Meantime, the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield is presently fetching 4.014%.

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Technically, December gold futures bears have the overall near-term technical advangtage. Prices are in a fledgling downtrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $2,000.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the June low of $1,939.20. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $1,972.80 and then at this week’s high of $1,981.70. First support is seen at last week’s low of $1,954.50 and then at $1,950.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

September silver futures prices hit a four-week low today. The silver bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a fledgling downtrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $25.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the June low of $22.34. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $23.255 and then at this week’s high of $23.775. Next support is seen at today’s low of $22.72 and then at $22.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0.

September N.Y. copper closed down 775 points at 375.75 cents today. Prices closed nearer the session low and hit a four-week low today. The copper bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. A nine-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart has been negated. Copper bulls' next upside price objective is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at the July high of 402.40 cents. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid technical support at the May low of 356.50 cents. First resistance is seen 380.00 cents and then at at today’s high of 384.20 cents. First support is seen at today’s low of 372.65 cents and then at 368.30 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

Mdi Earth Logo

Share

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.