Gold price weaker on booming U.S. stock market, China demand worries

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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Gold price weaker on booming U.S. stock market, China demand worries teaser image

(Kitco News) - Gold prices are modestly down and silver prices slightly up in lackluster early U.S. trading Friday. Thursday’s surprising deflation news coming out of China is still a bearish weight on the metals markets to end the trading week. The U.S. stock indexes at record highs are also a negative element for the safe-haven metals. April gold was last down $3.40 at $2,044.50. March silver was last up $0.044 at $22.68.

Asian and European stock markets were mixed in overnight trading. U.S. stock index futures are set to open modestly up today and at new record highs. Risk appetite in the marketplace has been keener this week despite still-elevated geopolitical concerns.

China is getting ready for its Lunar New Year holiday that starts this weekend. Many China markets will be closed for several days next week for the annual holiday.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index slightly firmer. Nymex crude oil prices are near steady and trading around $76.25 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is presently fetching 4.168%.

There is no major U.S. economic data due for release Friday.

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Technically, the gold futures bulls have the slight overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close in April futures above solid resistance at $2,100.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $2,000.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $2,050.10 and then at this week’s high of $2,059.10. First support is seen at Thursday’s low of $2,034.60 and then at this week’s low of $2,030.80. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.5.

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The silver bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a two-month-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing March futures prices above solid technical resistance at $23.72. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the October low of $21.17. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of $22.84 and then at $23.00. Next support is seen at this week’s low of $22.195 and then at $22.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0.

(Hey! My “Markets Front Burner” weekly email report is my best writing and analysis, I think, because I get to look ahead at the marketplace and do some market price forecasting. Plus, I’ll throw in an educational feature to move you up the ladder of trading/investing success. And it’s free! Email me at jim@jimwyckoff.com and I’ll add your email address to my Front Burner list.)

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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