Gold, silver firmer; bull-market runs still strong

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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Gold, silver firmer; bull-market runs still strong teaser image

(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are modestly up near midday Monday. Bulls did let off the gas a bit as they take a breather amid their still-strong upside price pushes. The charts for both precious metals remain bullish to suggest still more price upside in the near term. April gold was last up $4.30 at $2,189.80. May silver was last up $0.116 at $24.67.

Metals traders are awaiting arguably the U.S. data point of the week that comes on Tuesday: the consumer price index report for February, seen coming in at up 3.7%, year-on-year, versus a rise of 3.9% seen in the January report. A warmer-to-hot CPI reading could at least temporarily derail the bull runs in gold and silver. That would mean a number coming in above the January rise of 3.9%. Such could give the Federal Reserve pause in its notions of lower U.S. interest rates in the second half of this year.

U.S. stock index futures are lower near midday, on corrective, profit-taking pullbacks after last week’s record highs were set.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index firmer. Nymex crude oil prices are slightly weaker and trading around $77.75 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is presently fetching around 4.08%.

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Technically, April gold futures prices closed at a contract-high close today. The bulls have the strong overall near-term technical advantage. A steep four-week-old uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $2,250.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $2,100.00. First resistance is seen at the contract high of $2,203.00 and then at $2,225.00. First support is seen at $2,175.00 and then at last Friday’s low of $2,161.20. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 9.0.

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May silver futures prices closed at a nine-week-high close today. The silver bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage and have momentum. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $26.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at this week’s low of $23.23. First resistance is seen at last week’s high of $24.86 and then at $25.00. Next support is seen at Friday’s low of $24.38 and then at $24.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

May N.Y. copper closed up 265 points at 391.80 cents today. Prices closed near the session high today. The copper bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a four-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Copper bulls' next upside price objective is pushing and

closing prices above solid technical resistance at the December high of 388.80 cents. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid technical support at the February low of 367.95 cents. First resistance is seen at last week’s high of 394.65 cents and then at the January high of 396.75 cents. First support is seen at today’s low of 387.85 cents and then at last week’s low of 383.70 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0.

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Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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