Gold price firmer as Fed rate decision on deck

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are firmer in early U.S. trading, on a corrective rebound following strong losses posted Wednesday, in the wake of the decisive win by U.S. presidential candidate Donald Trump that injected risk appetite back into the general marketplace. A lower U.S. dollar index today is also a friendly daily outside-market element for the precious metals. December gold was last up $12.30 at $2,668.60 and December silver was up $0.199 at $31.53.

Overshadowed by the U.S. elections but on tap this week is the FOMC meeting of the Federal Reserve that started Wednesday morning and ends Thursday afternoon with the FOMC statement and press conference from Fed Chair Powell. Most believe the Fed will cut its main interest rate by 0.25%.

The Bank of England met today and cut its main interest rate by 0.25%, as expected. Sweden’s Riksbank lowered its main rate by half a point.

Bloomberg today reported: “Central bankers the world over are worried about Trump’s policies and how they could lead to slower global economic growth and higher inflation. His win increases uncertainties in Japan for instance, potentially leading to a near-term rate hike there.”

Asian and European stock indexes were mixed overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed to firmer openings when the New York day session begins, with the S&P 500 hitting another record high. The U.S. stock market has rallied strongly on the decisive victory by Donald Trump in the U.S. presidential race.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index lower. Nymex crude oil futures prices are lower and trading around $71.00 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is presently 4.437%.

Other U.S. economic data due for release Thursday includes the weekly jobless claims report, preliminary productivity and costs, monthly wholesale trade, consumer credit and the monthly chain store sales index.

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Technically, December gold bulls still have the overall near-term technical advantage but have faded. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at the record high of $2,801.80. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the October low of $2,618.80. First resistance is seen at $2,700.00 and then at $2,708.70. First support is seen at $2,675.00 and then at today’s low of $2,650.30. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0.

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December silver futures bulls still have the overall near-term technical advantage but have faded badly. A three-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart is in jeopardy. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $33.50. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $30.00. First resistance is seen at $32.00 and then at $32.50. Next support is seen at this week’s low of $30.94 and then at the October low of $30.345. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

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Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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