Gold price solidly down on profit taking, hot U.S. inflation report

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
Kitco News
The Leading News Source in Precious Metals

Kitco NEWS has a diverse team of journalists reporting on the economy, stock markets, commodities, cryptocurrencies, mining and metals with accuracy and objectivity. Our goal is to help people make informed market decisions through in-depth reporting, daily market roundups, interviews with prominent industry figures, comprehensive coverage (often exclusive) of important industry events and analyses of market-affecting developments.

Gold price solidly down on profit taking, hot U.S. inflation report    teaser image

(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are lower in early U.S. trading Wednesday. More profit-taking from the shorter-term futures traders is featured. A hot U.S. inflation report just released added to the selling pressure in the precious metals. April gold was last down $39.50 at $2,893.50. March silver prices were last down $0.327 at $31.995.

The U.S. data point of the week saw the consumer price index for January coming in up 3.0% annually. CPI was seen coming in up 2.9%, year-on-year. The “core” CPI, which excludes food and energy, was up 3.3% and was expected to come in up 3.1% annually. These numbers are the hottest in months and fall into the camp of the U.S. monetary policy hawks, who want to see the Fed hold off on cutting rates.

Asian and European shares were mixed to firmer in trading overnight. U.S. stock indexes are set to open solidly lower after the hot U.S. inflation report.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will address the U.S. House Financial Services Committee today, after speaking to a U.S. Senate committee Tuesday. Powell told the Senate committee the Fed is in no rush to cut interest rates further because it doesn’t want to hinder the fight against price inflation. However, President Trump came out on social media today and said the U.S. needs lower interest rates. Today’s hot CPI data “puts the Fed in a box,” said a CNBC reporter.

Bloomberg reports China's property crisis shows no signs of letting up. “Authorities were forced into a first mainland rescue and the bonds of Hong Kong developer New World are sinking into distress territory.”

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index solidly up after the hot CPI data. Nymex crude oil futures prices are lower and trading around $72.50 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is presently at 4.633% and on the rise after the CPI report.

Other U.S. economic data due for release Wednesday includes the weekly MBA mortgage applications survey, the weekly DOE liquid energy stocks report, real earnings and the Treasury monthly budget statement.

article image

Technically, April gold futures bulls have the strong overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are trending up on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $3,000.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $2,800.00. First resistance is seen at $2,900.00 and then at the overnight high of $2,927.90. First support is seen at this week’s low of $2,879.90 and then at $2,855.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 9.0.

article image

March silver futures bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage amid a price uptrend in place on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $34.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $31.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $32.415 and then at this week’s high of $32.805. Next support is seen at this week’s low of $31.65 and then at $31.25. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

(Hey! My “Markets Front Burner” weekly email report is my best writing and analysis, I think, because I get to look ahead at the marketplace and do some market price forecasting. Plus, I’ll throw in an educational feature to move you up the ladder of trading/investing success. And it’s free! Sign up here; it’s real easy. https://www.kitco.com/services

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

Mdi Earth Logo

Share

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.