Gold, silver continue sell off amid strong greenback, rising bond yields

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are solidly lower in midday U.S. trading Tuesday, with both metals notching four-week lows. A strong U.S. dollar index that this week hit a 20-year high and U.S. Treasury yields that this week hit multi-year highs are significantly bearish elements keeping the metals prices under selling pressure. Gold and silver bulls got no help from another hot U.S. inflation reading today. August gold futures were last down $19.60 at $1,812.10. July Comex silver futures were last down $0.400 at $20.855 an ounce.

Today’s U.S. producer price index report for May came in a up 10.8%, year-on-year and up 0.5% from April. Those numbers were close to market expectations and the markets showed no major reaction. But make no mistake: inflation in the U.S. and around the globe is running hot and is problematic. History shows problematic price inflation is longer-term bullish for hard assets, including the metals markets.

Global stock markets were mostly lower overnight. U.S. stock indexes mixed at midday. The U.S. stock indexes are in bear market territory, meaning they are down 20% or more from their highs. Despite today’s stabilization in the U.S. indexes, traders and investors see their risk appetites as far from robust.

The data point of the week is the Federal Reserve’s FOMC meeting that began Tuesday morning and ends Wednesday afternoon with a statement. The Fed is expected to raise U.S. interest rates by at least 0.5%. Some reckon the Fed may raise the key Fed funds rate by 0.75%. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will hold a press conference after the FOMC meeting concludes Wednesday afternoon.


Markets in chaos: Gold price down $50, Bitcoin price hits lowest level since December 2020, stocks plunge

The key outside markets today see Nymex crude oil prices higher and trading around $122.25 a barrel. The U.S. dollar index is firmer in midday trading and not far below this week’s 20-year high. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note is fetching around 3.3%. Monday the 10-year note hit the highest level in 14 years, at 3.371%.

Crypto currencies remain under strong selling pressure again, with Bitcoin at a 1.5-year low.

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Technically, the August gold futures bears have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close in June futures above solid resistance at this week’s high of $1,882.50. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $1,800.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $1,833.30 and then at $1,850.00. First support is seen at the overnight low of $1,809.20 and then at $1,800.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

July silver futures bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at the June high of $22.565 an ounce. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the May low of $20.42. First resistance is seen at today’s high of $21.36 and then at $21.75. Next support is seen at $20.42 and then at $20.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.0.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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