Powerful greenback keeping strangle-hold on gold, silver

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold prices are slightly up and silver prices weaker in early U.S. trading Tuesday. Gold hit an 8.5-month low overnight and silver a two-year low. The U.S. dollar index continues its assault on the major world currencies and that remains the main bearish element punishing the metals markets. Solidly lower crude oil prices today are also squelching the metals market bulls. August gold futures were last up $2.00 at $1,733.70. September Comex silver futures were last down $0.322 at $18.805 an ounce.

Global stock markets were mostly weaker overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward modestly lower openings when the New York day session begins. Trader and investor risk appetite remains dented amid recession and inflation fears. Asian countries are also dealing with the worrisome spread of Covid.

The U.S. data point of the week will be Wednesday’s consumer price index report for June, which is seen coming in up 8.5%, year-on-year. In the May report, CPI was up 8.6% annually.

The key outside markets today see Nymex crude oil prices sharply down and trading around $99.00 a barrel. The U.S. dollar index is up and hit another 20-year high early today. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note is fetching 2.921%.


Gold bears are overwhelming the market place and price action

U.S. economic data due for release Tuesday includes the weekly Johnson Redbook and chain stores sales indexes, the NFIB small business index, and the IBD/TIPP economic optimism index.

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Technically, the August gold futures bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage as prices hit an 8.5-month low overnight. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $1,800.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $1,700.00. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of $1,743.00 and then at $1,750.00. First support is seen at today’s low of $1,721.60 and then at $1,710.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.5

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

September silver futures bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage as prices hit a two-year low overnight. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $20.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $18.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $19.135 and then at $19.50. Next support is seen at the overnight low of $18.63 and then at $18.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.0.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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