Price gains in gold, silver as USDX fades, crude oil rallies

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are trading moderately higher in early U.S. trading Monday. Bullish outside market that see the U.S. dollar index solidly lower and crude oil prices higher are helping to lift the precious metals markets to start the trading week. A lack of fresh, markets-moving economic or geopolitical news early this week has metals traders looking at the outside markets for direction. August gold futures were last up $10.10 at $1,713.60. September Comex silver futures were last up $0.146 at $18.74 an ounce.

Global stock markets were higher overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward higher openings when the New York day session beings. Corporate earnings reports are on the front burner of the stock markets early this week. Lackluster, lower-volume summertime trading may pervade many financial markets in the coming weeks, until the Labor Day holiday weekend in early September. Traders and investors will be focused more on family vacations before school starts.

Traders and investors are looking ahead to Thursday when the European Central Bank holds its regular monetary policy meeting. The ECB is expected to raise interest rates for the first time in 11 years. The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to raise its key interest rate by at least 0.75% at next week’s FOMC meeting.

The key outside markets today see Nymex crude oil prices higher and trading around $99.50 a barrel. The U.S. dollar index is solidly lower in early U.S. trading. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note is fetching 2.95%.

U.S. economic data due for release Monday is light and includes the NAHB housing market index and the Treasury international capital data report.

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Technically, the August gold futures bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $1,750.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $1,650.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $1,722.00 and then at $1,735.00. First support is seen at $1,700.00 and then at last week’s low of $1,695.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.5.

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

September silver futures bears have the solid overall near-term technical advantage as prices hit a two-year low overnight. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $19.50. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $17.00. First resistance is seen at $19.00 and then at $19.36. Next support is seen at $18.50 and then at $18.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 1.5.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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