Price declines in gold, silver after downbeat China data

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are solidly lower in early U.S. trading Monday, on demand concerns for the metals after a batch of weak economic data from China spooked the marketplace. October gold futures were last down $22.30 at $1,783.00. September Comex silver futures were last down $0.493 at $20.205 an ounce.

There is keener risk aversion in the marketplace to start the trading week after China’s central bank unexpectedly announced it is lowering interest rates and adding liquidity to China’s financial system after some dour economic data reported for the world’s second-largest economy. Chinese data on factory output, investment, consumer spending and real estate all weakened in July. The dour China news added to fears of a global economic recession. Covid restrictions and a troubled property market have helped to hobble China’s economy in recent months. Other raw commodity prices on Monday also took a hit on the China news, led by a big drop in crude oil prices.

Global stock markets were mixed overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward lower openings when the New York day session begins.


The Inflation Reduction Act will do nothing; The U.S. economy's 'inevitable collapse' will come due to excessive debt - Ron Paul

The key outside markets today see Nymex crude oil prices sharply lower and trading around $88.00 a barrel. The U.S. dollar index is solidly higher in early U.S. trading. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note is fetching 2.831%.

U.S. economic data due for release Monday includes the Empire State manufacturing survey, the NAHB housing market index and Treasury international capital data.

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Technically, the October gold futures bears have the overall near-term technical advantage and regained power today. A price uptrend in place on the daily bar chart is now in serious jeopardy. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at the August high of $1,814.40. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $1,725.00. First resistance is seen at $1,800.00 and then at today’s high of $1,808.20. First support is seen at $1,775.00 and then at the August low of $1,759.70. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

September silver futures bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $21.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $19.00. First resistance is seen at $20.50 and then at today’s high of $20.87. Next support is seen at $20.00 and then at $19.47. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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