Price pressure on gold silver as U.S. bond yields march higher

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are lower in early U.S. trading Wednesday as rising U.S. Treasury yields continue to pull away investor demand for the safe-haven metals. The U.S. dollar index remains not far below its recent 20-year high and that’s also an underlying bearish element for the metals markets. December gold was last down $10.70 at $1,675.60 and December silver was down $0.332 at $19.15.

Traders are awaiting key U.S. inflation reports on Wednesday and Thursday mornings. The producer price index report for September is out Wednesday and the consumer price index report for September is out Thursday. The consumer price index is expected to come in at up 8.1%, year-on-year, following a rise of 8.3% in August.

Global stock markets were mixed to firmer overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed to higher openings when the New York day session begins. The marketplace remains less than “risk-on” at mid-week, following a downbeat assessment of the global economy by the International Monetary Fund on Tuesday.

The U.K. government bond market is still in turmoil, as the Bank of England this week was forced to buy inflation-linked bonds as part of its bond-buying program. The BOE today reiterated it will shut down its bond-buying program on Friday. There are worries U.K. pension funds could be lost if the U.K. bond market rout continues.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index just slightly weaker. Nymex crude oil prices are slightly higher and trading around $89.50 a barrel. The U.S. Treasury 10-year note yield is presently fetching 3.962%.   

Other U.S. economic data due for release Wednesday includes the weekly MBA mortgage applications survey.

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Technically, the December gold futures bears have the firm overall near-term technical advantage and have regained power. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at the October high of $1,738.70. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the September low of $1,622.20. First resistance is seen at Tuesday’s high of $1,691.30 and then at $1,700.00. First support is seen at this week’s low of $1,667.50 and then at $1,650.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 2.5.

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

September silver futures bears have the overall near-term technical advantage and have momentum. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at the October high of $21.31. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $18.00. First resistance is seen at Tuesday’s high of $19.725 and then at $20.00. Next support is seen at $19.00 and then at $18.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.0.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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