Gold sees price pause; more upside likely

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold prices are near steady in early U.S. trading Monday, on a pause after hitting an eight-month high late last week. The yellow metal remains in a solidly bullish technical posture, to suggest still more price upside in the near term. The gold bulls are starting to discuss a new record high being set this year. The present all-time high in Comex gold futures is $2,078.80 per ounce, scored in March of 2022. February gold was last down $0.20 at $1,928.00 and March silver was down $0.105 at $23.83.

Global stock markets were mixed but mostly up overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward slightly lower openings when the New York day session begins.

In overnight news, a Wall Street Journal headline reads, "Fed sets milder course on rate increases." Reporter Nick Timiraos said Fed officials are to slow interest rate increases at upcoming FOMC meetings and debate how much higher to raise them after gaining more confidence inflation will ease further this year. Timiraos is said to have an inside edge on getting high-level Fed officials to speak directly with him.


Gold price eyes $1,950 but it might have to wait until the Fed meeting before moving on to $2,000 - analysts

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index slightly lower. Nymex crude oil futures prices are modestly higher and trading around $82.25 a barrel. Meantime, the yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note is presently fetching 3.504%.   

U.S. economic data due for release Monday is light and includes the leading economic indicators report.

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Technically, the gold futures bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a 2.5-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price objective is to produce a close in February futures above solid resistance at $2,000.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $1,870.00. First resistance is seen at last week's high of $1,939.00 and then at $1,950.00. First support is seen at $1,900.00 and then at last week's low of $1,898.60. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.5

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

The silver bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage. However, trading has been sideways and choppy for four weeks. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing March futures prices above solid technical resistance at the January high of $24.775. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $22.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $24.295 and then at $24.50. Next support is seen at $23.50 and then at the January low of $23.26. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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