Gold sees routine profit-taking, downside correction

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold prices are modestly down in midday U.S. trading Monday, on a normal pause and mild profit taking after hitting an eight-month high late last week. Silver bulls are fading, however, as prices hit a five-week low today and the near-term technical posture is deteriorating. February gold was last down $4.40 at $1,923.90 and March silver was down $0.57 at $23.365.

Global stock markets were mixed but mostly up overnight. U.S. stock indexes are higher at midday.

In overnight news, a Wall Street Journal headline reads, "Fed sets milder course on rate increases." Reporter Nick Timiraos said Fed officials are to slow interest rate increases at upcoming FOMC meetings and debate how much higher to raise them after gaining more confidence inflation will ease further this year. Timiraos is said to have an inside edge on getting high-level Fed officials to speak directly with him.


Gold price eyes $1,950 but it might have to wait until the Fed meeting before moving on to $2,000 - analysts

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index slightly higher. Nymex crude oil futures prices are modestly higher and trading around $82.25 a barrel. Meantime, the yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note is presently fetching 3.53%.  

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Technically, February gold futures prices hit a nine-month high last Friday. Bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. A 2.5-month-old uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart. Bulls' next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $1,950.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $1,870.00. First resistance is seen at last week's high of $1,939.00 and then at $1,950.00. First support is seen at today's low of $1,912.50 and then at $1,900.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.0

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

March silver futures prices hit a five-week low today. The silver bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage but are fading. A four-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart has been negated. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at the January high of $24.775. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $22.00. First resistance is seen at $24.00 and then at today's high of $24.295. Next support is seen at today's low of $22.845 and then at $22.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

March N.Y. copper closed up 55 points at 425.80 cents today. Prices closed near mid-range today. Prices last week hit a 6.5-month high. The copper bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. A 3.5-month-old uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart. Copper bulls' next upside price objective is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at 450.00 cents. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid technical support at 400.00 cents. First resistance is seen at today's high of 430.25 cents and then at the January high of 435.50 cents. First support is seen at 420.00 cents and then at 416.80 cents. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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