Safe-haven demand powers gold price sharply up

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are sharply up and gold hit a four-week high in early U.S. trading Monday, on safe-haven demand amid a very uneasy general marketplace. April gold was last up $25.70 at $1,892.70 and May silver was up $0.669 at $21.18.

Trader and investor anxiety is elevated to start the trading week, following a turbulent weekend in the wake of late last week’s collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, the sixteenth largest bank in the U.S. The federal government said it would back all depositors in the failed bank. Other smaller U.S. banks are reported to be in stress due to depositor withdrawals. Government regulators have also taken over Signature Bank, which serves many crypto currency companies.

To show how much this event has shaken the general marketplace, Goldman Sachs is now predicting the Federal Reserve will not raise U.S. interest rates at its FOMC meeting next week. Said one market analyst in a Wall Street Journal story today: “When the Fed raises rates so quickly, nine times out of 10, it breaks things. We may see more corporate failures; we may see more regional banks go under.” Read a headline on Dow Jones Newswires: “Bank mayhem is now on the Fed’s radar.”

Global stock markets were mostly lower overnight, while U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward narrowly mixed openings when the New York day session begins.


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U.S. Treasury prices are also solidly up (yields down) on flight-to-quality buying. Meantime, Bitcoin prices are sharply up.

Of course, the fear in the marketplace is a contagion effect and crisis of confidence among the investing public and the general public. The next two days will be critical in gauging the stress of the investing and general public.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index lower after hitting a three-month high last week. Nymex crude oil futures prices are lower and trading around $75.25 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note is presently fetching 3.549%, after recently poking above the 4.0% level.

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Technically, the gold futures bulls have the firm overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls' next upside price objective is to produce a close in April futures above solid resistance at the February high of $1,975.20. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the February low of $1,810.80. First resistance is seen at $1,900.00 and then at $1,915.00. First support is seen at the overnight low of $1,875.70 and then at $1,864.40. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

The silver bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a six-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing May futures prices above solid technical resistance at $22.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the March low of $19.945. First resistance is seen at $21.39 and then at $21.80. Next support is seen at the overnight low of $20.645 and then at $20.505. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 3.5.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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