Gold price weaker amid firmer USDX, uptick in U.S. bond yields

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are lower in early U.S. trading Monday. The metals are seeing modest pressure from a higher U.S. dollar index and a rise in U.S. Treasury yields to start a U.S. holiday-shortened trading week. August gold was last down $9.40 at $1,920.20 and September silver was down $0.05 at $22.97.

Asian and European stock markets were mixed to higher in quieter overnight trading. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward mixed openings when the New York day session begins. The S&P stock index futures hit a 14-month high last Friday. Look for quieter trading today as many American traders and investors are taking an extra day off, ahead of the U.S. Independence Day holiday Tuesday when all U.S. markets are closed. Some U.S. markets close early today.

It’s still a busy week for the marketplace as the U.S. employment situation report for June is out Friday. The key non-farm payrolls number is forecast up 240,000 versus a gain of 339,000 in the May report.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen travels to China Thursday for meetings with high-level Chinese officials.

In overnight news, the Eurozone June manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) came in at 43.4, which was slightly lower than market expectations. A reading below 50.0 suggests contraction in the sector.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index higher. Nymex crude oil prices are firmer and trading around $71.25 a barrel. Meantime, the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield is presently fetching 3.849%.  


Here's why gold price is above $1,900 despite two looming rate hikes

U.S. economic due for release Monday includes the U.S. manufacturing PMI, the ISM report on business manufacturing, the global manufacturing PMI and construction spending.

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Technically, the gold futures bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. A six-week-old price downtrend is in place on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close in August futures above solid resistance at $2,000.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $1,900.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $1,917.80 and then at this week’s high of $1,943.40. First support is seen at the overnight low of $1,908.10 and then at $1,900.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

The silver bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a six-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing September futures prices above solid technical resistance at the June high of $24.835. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the March low of $20.425. First resistance is seen at last week’s high of $23.335 and then at $23.50. Next support is seen at last week’s low of $22.485 and then at the June low of $22.34. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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