Gold price a bit weaker as busy U.S. data week unfolds

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
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Updated
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(Kitco News) - Gold prices are slightly lower and silver near steady in early U.S. trading Monday, in quieter summertime trading. However, it’s an active week for U.S. economic reports, including key U.S. inflation data. August gold was last down $1.60 at $1,930.90 and September silver was up $0.006 at $23.295.

Asian and European stock markets were mixed to weaker in overnight trading. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward slightly lower openings when the New York day session begins.

In overnight news, China’s consumer price index for June came in at 0.0%, year-on-year, which was below market expectations for a 0.2% rise. Meantime, China’s producer price index in June fell a lower-than-expected 5.4% year-on-year, compared to a 4.6% drop in May.

The U.S. data point of a busy data week is the consumer price index report for June on Wednesday, which is expected to come in at up 5.0%, year-on-year, compared to a gain of 5.3% in the May report.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index firmer. Nymex crude oil prices are weaker and trading around $73.50 a barrel. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield last week moved above 4.0%, which is the highest since March. The 10-year yield is presently fetching 4.070%.


This catapults gold to $2,500 and then $5,000 by 2026 - Midas Touch Consulting's Florian Grummes

U.S. economic data due for release Monday includes the employment trends index, monthly wholesale trade and consumer credit. Several Federal Reserve Board officials are also scheduled to give speeches today.

Live 24 hours gold chart [Kitco Inc.]

Technically, the gold futures bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. A nine-week-old price downtrend is in place on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close in August futures above solid resistance at $2,000.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $1,900.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $1,933.70 and then at last week’s high of $1,942.90. First support is seen at Friday’s low of $1,915.40 and then at last week’s low of $1,908.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0

Live 24 hours silver chart [ Kitco Inc. ]

The silver bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a nine-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing September futures prices above solid technical resistance at the June high of $24.835. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the June low of $22.34. First resistance is seen at last week’s high of $23.535 and then at $23.75. Next support is seen at $23.00 and then at last week’s low of $22.72. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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