Gold prices push back above $1,950 as U.S. PCE inflation continues to cool rising 0.2% in June

Kitco Media
By Neils Christensen
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(Kitco News) - Gold prices have pushed back above the critical psychologically important $1,950 level as U.S. inflation drops in line with expectations.

Friday, the U.S. Department of Commerce said its core Personal Consumption Expenditures price index increased 0.2% last month, compared to May's increase of 0.3%. The inflation rose in line with economists' expectations.

Inflation in the last 12 months rose 4.1%, down sharply from June's 4.6% increase. Annual inflation also came in a tick cooler than expected, with economists looking for a 4.2% rise. Looking at the broader trend, inflation remains stubbornly high, roughly double the Federal Reserve's target of 2%.

Meanwhile, headline inflation for the last 12 months rose 3.0%, compared to May's increase of 3.8%.

Although inflation remains stubbornly high, some analysts have noted that it continues to fall in the right direction, giving the Federal Reserve room to leave interest rates unchanged in September. A potential halt to the central bank's tightening continues to support gold prices.

August gold futures last traded at $1,955.90 an ounce, up 0.55% on the day.

Analysts note that growing cracks in consumption also support gold prices. The report noted that personal income is not keeping up with consumption.

Personal income increased 0.3% in June, compared to May's revised increase of 0.5%. The data missed expectations as economists looked for a 0.5% increase.

Meanwhile, consumers appear to be dipping into their credit to meet their shopping needs. The report said that consumption increased by 0.5% last month, compared to May's increase of 0.2%. Spending came in higher than expected, with consensus estimates calling for a 0.4% increase.

Kitco Media

Neils Christensen

Neils Christensen has a diploma in journalism from Lethbridge College and has more than a decade of reporting experience working for news organizations throughout Canada. His experiences include covering territorial and federal politics in Nunavut, Canada. He has worked exclusively within the financial sector since 2007, when he started with the Canadian Economic Press. Neils can be contacted at: 1 866 925 4826 ext. 1526 nchristensen at kitco.com @KitcoNewsNOW

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