Mild price gains for gold, silver in subdued trading

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
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(Kitco News) - Gold and silver prices are up a bit in early U.S. trading Tuesday in quieter, post-holiday trading. Bullish charts are still prompting some speculator buying interest in precious metals, amid a lack of fresh fundamental news to drive price action. February gold was last up $4.00 at $2,073.10. March silver was last up $0.065 at $24.63.

Asian and European stock markets were mixed overnight. U.S. stock index futures are set to open slightly higher when the New York day session begins. Trading activity was quieter overnight following the Christmas day holiday on Monday. Some markets, including those in the U.K., Germany and France, remained closed Tuesday.

Reports said the U.S. military carried out retaliatory air strikes on Monday in Iraq after a drone strike from Iran-aligned militants left one U.S. serviceman in critical condition and wounded two others. Markets showed no significant price reactions to the news.

Meanwhile, the Israeli Prime Minister has vowed to keep fighting in Gaza until Hamas is destroyed, despite global calls for a ceasefire as concerns rise the conflict will spread.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index slightly up. Nymex crude oil prices are slightly down and trading around $73.25 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark U.S. Treasury 10-year note is presently fetching 3.882%.

U.S. economic data due out Tuesday includes the Chicago Fed national activity index, the monthly house price index and the Texas manufacturing outlook survey.

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Technically, the gold futures bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage and have momentum. Prices are in a 2.5-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close in March futures above solid resistance at $2,100.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $2,000.00. First resistance is seen at last week’s high of $2,083.00 and then at $2,100.00. First support is seen at the overnight low of $2,065.10 and then at last Friday’s low of $2,058.20. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.5.

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The silver bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a 2.5-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing March futures prices above solid technical resistance at $26.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the December low of $22.785. First resistance is seen at last week’s high of $24.895 and then at $25.00. Next support is seen at last Friday’s low of $24.37 and then at $24.245. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

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Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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