Gold price up on safe-haven buying as Mid-East tensions rise

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
Published
Updated
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Gold price up on safe-haven buying as Mid-East tensions rise teaser image

(Kitco News) - Gold prices are higher and silver slightly up in early U.S. trading Thursday. Safe-haven demand is featured in the yellow metal as risk aversion has up-ticked late this week following more military action in the Middle East. February gold was last up $10.40 at $2,016.90. March silver was last up $0.071 at $22.74.

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East ratcheted up another notch as Pakistan launched retaliatory airstrikes inside Iran, killing at least 9 people. The strikes follow Iran’s attack Tuesday on Pakistani soil that killed two. The risk of escalation remained Thursday as Iran began a planned air defense drill from its port of Chabahar near Pakistan. Meantime, the U.S. has launched more air strikes against Iranian-backed Houthi rebel targets in Yemen.

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Asian and European stock markets were mixed to firmer overnight. U.S. stock index futures are set to open higher when the New York day session begins.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index down a bit after hitting a four-week high Wednesday. Nymex crude oil prices are near steady and trading around $72.50 a barrel. Meantime, the yield on the benchmark U.S. Treasury 10-year note is presently fetching around 4.09%.

U.S. economic data due out Thursday includes the weekly jobless claims report, the Philadelphia Fed business survey, new residential construction and the weekly DOE liquid energy stocks report.

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Technically, the gold futures bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage but are fading a bit. Prices are still in a three-month-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close in March futures above solid resistance at this week’s high of $2,062.80. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $2,000.00. First resistance is seen at $2,025.00 and then at Wednesday’s high of $2,036.10. First support is seen at today’s low of $2,007.70 and then at this week’s low of $2,004.60. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0.

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The silver bears have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a choppy, five-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing March futures prices above solid technical resistance at $25.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at the November low of $22.26. First resistance is seen at $23.00 and then at this week’s high of $23.50. Next support is seen at the January low of $22.63 and then at $22.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 4.0.

Try out my “Markets Front Burner” weekly email report. Front Burner is my best writing and analysis, I think, because I get to look ahead at the marketplace and do some market price forecasting. Plus, I’ll throw in an educational feature to move you up the ladder of trading/investing success. And it’s free! Email me at jim@jimwyckoff.com and I’ll add your email address to the Front Burner list.

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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