Gold price solidly up amid friendly outside markets

Kitco Media
By Jim Wyckoff
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(Kitco News) - Gold prices are posting good gains in early U.S. trading Tuesday, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar index, slightly firmer crude oil prices and a downtick in U.S. Treasury yields. Silver prices are slightly up. Bullish technical postures for both metals continue to invite the chart-based speculators to the long sides of these markets. April gold was last up $20.00 at $2,196.60. May silver was last up $0.059 at $24.95.

The marketplace is watching the developments surrounding a large container ship striking a major bridge in Baltimore, collapsing the bridge and stranding the ship. There are likely at least several casualties, but also the disaster will impact shipping at the third-largest port on the eastern seaboard.

Asian and European stock indexes were mixed overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward firmer openings when the New York day session begins.

In other news, the London Metals Exchange has increased margins on copper and aluminum alloy trading in an effort to try to curb speculation in the copper market. “The LME is almost certainly dissuading speculation in copper with long positions now at a two-year high and volumes last week at three-year highs. With many of the world’s traders lining up to propel copper higher the LME is acting early to dampen excessive speculation,” said broker SP Angel.

The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index lower. Nymex crude oil prices are a bit weaker and trading around $81.75 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is presently fetching around 4.23%.

U.S. economic reports due for release Tuesday includes the weekly Johnson Redbook retail sales report, durable goods orders, the monthly house price index, the S&P Case-Shiller home price index, the Richmond Fed business survey, and the consumer confidence index.

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Technically, the gold futures bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. A five-week-old uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close in April futures above solid resistance at the record high of $2,225.30. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at last week’s low of $2,149.20. First resistance is seen at $2,203.00 and then at the contract high of $2,225.30. First support is seen at $2,180.00 and then at the overnight low of $2,168.30. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.0.

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The silver bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing May futures prices above solid technical resistance at last week’s high of $25.975. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $23.50. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of $25.05 and then at $25.50. Next support is seen at the overnight low of $24.655 and then at last week’s low of $24.58. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.5.

(Hey! My “Markets Front Burner” weekly email report is my best writing and analysis, I think, because I get to look ahead at the marketplace and do some market price forecasting. Plus, I’ll throw in an educational feature to move you up the ladder of trading/investing success. And it’s free! Email me at jim@jimwyckoff.com and I’ll add your email address to my Front Burner list.)

Kitco Media

Jim Wyckoff

Jim Wyckoff has spent over 25 years involved with the stock, financial and commodity markets. He was a financial journalist with the FWN newswire service for many years, including stints as a reporter on the rough-and-tumble commodity futures trading floors in Chicago and New York. As a journalist, he has covered every futures market traded in the U.S., at one time or another.

Jim is the proprietor of the "Jim Wyckoff on the Markets" analytical, educational and trading advisory service. Jim also worked as a technical analyst for Dow Jones Newswires and as the senior market analyst with TraderPlanet.com. Jim is also a consultant with the highly respected "Pro Farmer" agricultural advisory service. Jim was also the head equities analyst at CapitalistEdge.com. He received his degree from Iowa State University in Ames, Iowa, where he studied journalism and economics.

Follow Jim daily on Kitco.com as he provides both AM and PM roundups and a daily Technical Special. 1 877 963-NEWS jwyckoff at kitco.com

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